Maitland Mustangs vs Newcastle Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 East Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons
Result
95:116
12/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East

Chances of winning


Maitland Mustangs
63.8%
Newcastle Falcons
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.33)

    2.58
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Maitland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 498:436. (average 83:72.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 284:212. (average 94.7:70.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 84:61
    13.07.2024 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 64:85
    06.04.2024 Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons 109:72
    15.07.2023 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 76:68
    15.04.2023 Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons 82:69
    Latest results of Maitland Mustangs
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Sydney Comets (4)116 : 76
    4Norths Bears (6)Manly W. (7)81 : 73
    5Canberra (2)BA CoE (3)88 : 72
    8Bankstown Bruins (5)Sutherland Sharks (8)84 : 89

    Quarter-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Bye
    2BA CoE (3)Norths Bears (6)97 : 88
    3Canberra (2)Bye
    4Sydney Comets (4)Sutherland Sharks (8)66 : 72

    Semi-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)BA CoE (3)98 : 89
    2Canberra (2)Sutherland Sharks (8)84 : 76

    Final
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Canberra (2)