Maitland Mustangs vs Newcastle Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 East Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons
Result
95:116
12/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East

Chances of winning


Maitland Mustangs
63.8%
Newcastle Falcons
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.33)

    2.58
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Maitland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 498:436. (average 83:72.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 284:212. (average 94.7:70.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 84:61
    13.07.2024 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 64:85
    06.04.2024 Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons 109:72
    15.07.2023 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 76:68
    15.04.2023 Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons 82:69
    Latest results of Maitland Mustangs
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Australian NBL1 East Table
    Main
    PlWLPCT
    1Illawarra Hawks 2201551907:17490.750
    2Canberra201551823:15700.750
    3BA CoE201551689:14640.750
    4Sydney Comets201371582:15330.650
    5Bankstown Bruins201281781:16900.600
    6Norths Bears201281617:15580.600
    7Manly W201191720:17010.550
    8Sutherland Sharks201191749:16570.550
    9Newcastle Falcons2010101647:16200.500
    10Central Coast Crusaders209111644:17590.450
    11Hills Hornets208121549:16050.400
    12Maitland M207131778:18010.350
    13Inner West Bulls207131666:17620.350
    14Hornsby S207131683:18200.350
    15Albury-Wodonga Bandits205151618:18820.250
    16Penrith P203171502:17840.150

          Promotion ~ NBL1 East (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)