Maitland Mustangs vs Newcastle Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
95:116
12/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East

Chances of winning


Maitland Mustangs
63.8%
Newcastle Falcons
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.33)

    2.58
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maitland (votes: 1 - 50%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Maitland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 498:436. (average 83:72.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 284:212. (average 94.7:70.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 84:61
    13.07.2024 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 64:85
    06.04.2024 Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons 109:72
    15.07.2023 Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs 76:68
    15.04.2023 Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons 82:69
    Latest results of Maitland Mustangs
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Australian NBL1 East Table
    2026
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra550403:37410
    2BA CoE440336:2638
    3Norths Bears761595:50913
    4Manly W651548:41811
    5Illawarra Hawks 2651596:49911
    6Bankstown Bruins642556:54510
    7Hills Hornets532409:4198
    8Sydney Comets633490:4399
    9Inner West Bulls633469:4909
    10Central Coast Crusaders734577:60410
    11Maitland M624477:4888
    12Sutherland Sharks413308:3235
    13Newcastle Falcons505319:3945
    14Hornsby S505400:4875
    15Penrith P505310:4235
    16Albury-Wodonga Bandits505388:5065

          Promotion ~ NBL1 East (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)