Maja Chwalinska vs Darja Vidmanova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
72%76%
1st serve points won
63% (40/64)58% (51/88)
2nd serve points won
52% (13/25)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)57% (8/14)
1st return points won
43% (38/88)41% (26/64)
2nd return points won
54% (15/28)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
57% (51/89)55% (64/116)
Return Points Won
45% (52/116)43% (38/89)
Total Points Won
50% (103/205)50% (102/205)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
67% (10/15)63% (10/16)
Return games won
38% (6/16)33% (5/15)
Total games won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Maja Chwalinska
61.7%
Darja Vidmanova
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maja Chwalinska's performance.
  • Darja Vidmanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darja Vidmanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maja Chwalinska that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Vidmanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maja Chwalinska - Darja Vidmanova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.79)

    2.45
    (1.91)
    6.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Maja Chwalinska - Darja Vidmanova?
  • Users Predictions: Maja Chwalinska will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Maja Chwalinska will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 134. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 137.
    • Chwalinska is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vidmanova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vidmanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chwalinska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Maja Chwalinska
    Latest results of Darja Vidmanova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    2Voloshchuk A. (WC)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    3Jorge M. (WC)Lepchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Tomova V.Quevedo K. (9)0 : 2
    5Jimenez Kasintseva V. (4)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Salkova D.Radivojevic L.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Korneeva A. (WC)1 : 2
    8Jakupovic D. (Q)Minnen G. (7)0 : 2
    9Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (5)Parrizas-Diaz N. (Q)1 : 2
    10Chwalinska M.Noha Akugue N. (Q)2 : 1
    11Shymanovich I.Monnet C.2 : 1
    12Bolsova Zadoinov A.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    13Klimovicova L. (8)Jorge F.0 : 2
    14Vidmanova D.Amorim G. (WC)2 : 0
    15Liang E. S. (LL)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    16Crawley F.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    2Jorge M.Quevedo K. (9)2 : 1
    3Romero Gormaz L.Radivojevic L.2 : 0
    4Korneeva A.Minnen G. (7)2 : 1
    5Parrizas-Diaz N.Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    6Shymanovich I.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    7Jorge F.Vidmanova D.1 : 2
    8Kalinina A.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Stefanini L.Jorge M.1 : 2
    2Romero Gormaz L.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    3Chwalinska M.Lamens S. (3)2 : 0
    4Vidmanova D.Galfi D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jorge M.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    2Chwalinska M.Vidmanova D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Korneeva A.Vidmanova D.2 : 0