Maks Kasnikowski vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Poznan Challenger Men Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
2:1
22/06/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland), clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
57%69%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (32/53)54% (36/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (17/40)43% (13/30)
Break Points Saved
65% (11/17)59% (10/17)
1st Return Points Won
46% (31/67)40% (21/53)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (17/30)58% (23/40)
Break Points Converted
41% (7/17)35% (6/17)
Max Points In Row
78
Service Points Won
53% (51/97)51% (49/97)
Return Points Won
49% (48/97)47% (46/97)
Total Points Won
51% (99/194)49% (95/194)
Max Games In Row
56
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)50% (7/14)
Return Games Won
50% (7/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Maks Kasnikowski
51.8%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.08)

    1.96
    (1.65)
    6.3%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: Maks Kasnikowski will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Kasnikowski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    Latest results of Maks Kasnikowski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Vatutin A. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Wazny A. (WC)Nagal S.1 : 2
    3Mrva M. (Q)Molleker R. (Q)2 : 0
    4Zakaria F. (WC)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    5Misolic F. (4)Kasnikowski M.2 : 0
    6Poljicak M.Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Berkieta T. (WC)Michalski D. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Alvarez Varona N. (LL)Rodionov J. (7)1 : 2
    9Skatov T. (9)Albot R.2 : 0
    10Barton H. (LL)Kodat T. (Q)2 : 0
    11Dedura D. (Q)Martineau M.0 : 2
    12Squire H.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    13Mena F. (RET.) (8)Vallejo D.0 : 1
    14Vacherot V.Giustino L.0 : 2
    15Durasovic V.Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    16Yevseyev D.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Nagal S.2 : 1
    2Mrva M.Krumich M.1 : 2
    3Misolic F. (4)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    4Michalski D.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (9)Barton H.0 : 2
    6Martineau M.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    7Vallejo D.Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Durasovic V.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Krumich M.2 : 0
    2Misolic F. (4)Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    4Giustino L.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Misolic F. (4)0 : 2
    2Svrcina D. (3)Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Misolic F. (4)Svrcina D. (3)2 : 0