Málaga City vs Atlético Porcuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Málaga City - Atlético Porcuna
Result
0:1
16/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Pegalajar ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 86', Burgos J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Málaga City
32.9%
Draw
26.8%
Atlético Porcuna
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 26.3% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 25.5% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga City's performance.
  • Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Porcuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga City than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Porcuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Málaga City - Atlético Porcuna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (3.28)
    3.34
    (3.46)
    2.23
    (1.98)
    11.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Málaga City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Atlético Porcuna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético Porcuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Atlético Porcuna will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Málaga City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Málaga City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga City - Atlético Porcuna were as follows:
    19.03.2023 Atlético Porcuna - Málaga City 2:1
    26.11.2022 Málaga City - Atlético Porcuna 1:0
    Latest results of Málaga City
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2