Sporting La Rioja vs Malaga Costa del Sol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
18:17
04/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de la Reina Women - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Sporting La Rioja
28.1%
Draw
10.4%
Malaga Costa del Sol
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 10.6% 61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 10.6% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Malaga Costa del Sol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting La Rioja than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga Costa del Sol than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sporting La Rioja - Malaga Costa del Sol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.34)
    8.72
    (8.65)
    1.48
    (1.48)
    9.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 47.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • Sporting La Rioja is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Malaga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Malaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Malaga is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting La Rioja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 108:138. (average 21.6:27.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting La Rioja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:54. (average 20.5:27).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting La Rioja - Malaga Costa del Sol were as follows:
    12.11.2025 Malaga Costa del Sol - Sporting La Rioja 22:21
    08.02.2025 Sporting La Rioja - Malaga Costa del Sol 19:23
    21.09.2024 Malaga Costa del Sol - Sporting La Rioja 31:24
    15.03.2023 Sporting La Rioja - Malaga Costa del Sol 22:31
    26.11.2022 Malaga Costa del Sol - Sporting La Rioja 31:22
    Latest results of Sporting La Rioja
    Latest results of Malaga Costa del Sol
    Draw
    2026

    1/8-finals
    1Bera Bera WBye
    2Aula Valladolid WPorrino W24 : 22
    3Lanzarote Zonzamas WGran Canaria W18 : 23
    4San Jose Obrero WBM Granollers W25 : 32
    5Elda Prestigia WElche-Mustang W23 : 22
    6Sporting La Rioja WMalaga W18 : 17
    7Beti-Onak WBye
    8Morvedre WGuardes W25 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bera Bera WAula Valladolid W
    2Gran Canaria WBM Granollers W
    3Elda Prestigia WSporting La Rioja W
    4Beti-Onak WGuardes W

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2