Eibar vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).

LaLiga2 - Round 36
Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	0.93
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
78% (327/420)	74% (306/412)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.23	1.85
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
20	21
Through passes
75% (3/4)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
78% (327/420)	74% (306/412)
Long passes
52% (30/58)	43% (36/83)
Passes in final third
60% (76/126)	62% (57/92)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.85
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
100% (12/12)	86% (19/22)
Duels won
41	61
Clearances Total
32	26
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.85	1.23
Goals prevented
-0.15	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Galilea E. 🟨,
24', Gil I. 🟨,
37', Puertas A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Bautista J. ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Galilea E. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Murillo D. ⚽, Molina M. (A),
61', Juanpe ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
64', Gil I. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
64', Puertas A. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
64', Comas A. ↓, Arambarri A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Cordero A. (A),
72', 2 - 2, Monte N. (Own goal),
77', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
77', Dioni ↓, Chupe ↑,
81', Gutierrez C. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,
86', Monte N. ↓, Pastor A. ↑,
90+7', Pereira M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Eibar
53.1%

Draw
28.9%

Málaga
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

28%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Eibar - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)	5.27 ↑ (4.92)	6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Eibar - Málaga?

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eibar will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 3.
Recent matches Eibar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Málaga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Eibar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Eibar is a favorite.
There will not play in Eibar: Guruzeta J. (Illness) Madariaga A. (Knee Injury) Troncho A. (Knee Injury) Villa T. (Illness)
There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Luismi (Injury)
There are questionable in Eibar: Comas A. (Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Eibar won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:17 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Málaga?

Eibar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Eibar?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Málaga were as follows:

27.10.2024 Málaga - Eibar 1:0

15.01.2023 Eibar - Málaga 2:1

30.10.2022 Málaga - Eibar 0:1

Latest results of Eibar

12.04.2025 Zaragoza - Eibar 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Eibar - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 0:0 ✺

23.03.2025 Eibar - Huesca 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Málaga 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Albacete Balompié - Málaga 2:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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