Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 4
- Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | Canal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/391) | 79% (262/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/391) | 79% (262/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (57/92) | 59% (55/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Chupe ⚽, Juanpe (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Chupe ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Casadesus P. ⚽, Bouldini M. (A),
- 45+1', Bouldini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
- 46', Bouldini M. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 2, Aleman P. ⚽,
- 61', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez R. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
- 64', Montero J. 🟨,
- 68', Juanpe 🟨,
- 69', Saenz P. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
- 69', Ruiz S. ↓, Alcaraz R. ↑,
- 73', Sola A. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
- 78', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
- 83', Casadesus P. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
- 85', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/329tpfwa
Chances of winning
Málaga
42.5% | Draw
31.7% | Granada
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Málaga - Granada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.24) |
2.97 ↓
(3.35) |
3.69 ↑
(3.06) |
5.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Málaga - Granada?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
- Málaga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Granada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Granada has had a series of home games.
- Málaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M.
(Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Nino A.
(International duty)
Pastor A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Granada: Astralaga A.
(International duty)
Diallo B.
(Injury)
Haro P.
(Red Card)
Hongla M.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Granada?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Málaga?
Granada has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Granada were as follows:
03.05.2025
Málaga
-
Granada
1:0
20.09.2024
Granada
-
Málaga
2:2
27.02.2023
Granada
-
Málaga
1:0
08.12.2022
Málaga
-
Granada
1:1
Latest results of Granada
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Las Palmas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Almeria | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Valladolid | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Andorra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Gijon | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 | Albacete | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Huesca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Eibar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | Castellon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Cultural Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Malaga | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:17 | -11 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
