Málaga vs Granada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 4
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainCanal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.23
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (314/391)79% (262/331)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.60
Total shots
818
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
80% (314/391)79% (262/331)
Long passes
47% (31/66)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)59% (55/93)
Crosses
30% (3/10)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1613
Tackles
80% (20/25)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5263
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.601.29
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Chupe , Juanpe (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Chupe , Larrubia D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Casadesus P. , Bouldini M. (A),
  • 45+1', Bouldini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Puga C. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 46', Bouldini M. , Pascual J. ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Aleman P. ,
  • 61', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez R. , Dotor C. ,
  • 64', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 68', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 69', Saenz P. , Arnaiz J. M. ,
  • 69', Ruiz S. , Alcaraz R. ,
  • 73', Sola A. , Hormigo D. ,
  • 78', Larrubia D. , Ochoa A. ,
  • 83', Casadesus P. , Rodelas S. ,
  • 85', Chupe , Jauregi E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/329tpfwa

Chances of winning


Málaga
42.5%
Draw
31.7%
Granada
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.9% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.1% 29.6%

Málaga - Granada Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.25
(2.24)
2.97
(3.35)
3.69
(3.06)
5.3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Málaga - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 60.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Málaga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Granada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Granada has had a series of home games.
    • Málaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (International duty) Pastor A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Granada: Astralaga A. (International duty) Diallo B. (Injury) Haro P. (Red Card) Hongla M. (International duty)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Granada were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0
    20.09.2024 Granada - Málaga 2:2
    27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0
    08.12.2022 Málaga - Granada 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1
    09.08.2025 Málaga - Betis 3:1
    02.08.2025 Oxford United - Málaga 3:0
    Latest results of Granada
    31.08.2025 Granada - Mirandés 1:2
    22.08.2025 Eibar - Granada 3:0
    09.08.2025 Granada - Al Ain 0:3
    30.07.2025 Granada - Al-Rayyan Canceled
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1685318:10829
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1674521:15625
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Granada CF1748520:22-220
    14Malaga1654720:21-119
    15Leganes1747616:18-219
    16Albacete1654722:27-519
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1643917:26-915
    22Zaragoza1643913:26-1315

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