Málaga vs Granada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 4
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainCanal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.23
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (314/391)79% (262/331)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.60
Total shots
818
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
80% (314/391)79% (262/331)
Long passes
47% (31/66)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)59% (55/93)
Crosses
30% (3/10)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1613
Tackles
80% (20/25)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5263
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.601.29
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Chupe , Juanpe (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Chupe , Larrubia D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Casadesus P. , Bouldini M. (A),
  • 45+1', Bouldini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Puga C. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 46', Bouldini M. , Pascual J. ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Aleman P. ,
  • 61', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez R. , Dotor C. ,
  • 64', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 68', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 69', Saenz P. , Arnaiz J. M. ,
  • 69', Ruiz S. , Alcaraz R. ,
  • 73', Sola A. , Hormigo D. ,
  • 78', Larrubia D. , Ochoa A. ,
  • 83', Casadesus P. , Rodelas S. ,
  • 85', Chupe , Jauregi E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/329tpfwa

Chances of winning


Málaga
42.5%
Draw
31.7%
Granada
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.9% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.1% 29.6%

Málaga - Granada Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.25
(2.24)
2.97
(3.35)
3.69
(3.06)
5.3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Málaga - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 60.6%97.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Granada (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Málaga (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Granada (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Málaga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Granada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Granada has had a series of home games.
    • Málaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (International duty) Pastor A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Granada: Astralaga A. (International duty) Diallo B. (Injury) Haro P. (Red Card) Hongla M. (International duty)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Granada were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0
    20.09.2024 Granada - Málaga 2:2
    27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0
    08.12.2022 Málaga - Granada 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1
    09.08.2025 Málaga - Betis 3:1
    02.08.2025 Oxford United - Málaga 3:0
    Latest results of Granada
    31.08.2025 Granada - Mirandés 1:2
    22.08.2025 Eibar - Granada 3:0
    09.08.2025 Granada - Al Ain 0:3
    30.07.2025 Granada - Al-Rayyan Canceled
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

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