Málaga vs Granada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga).

LaLiga2 - Round 4
Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	Canal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	1.23
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
80% (314/391)	79% (262/331)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	1.60
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
80% (314/391)	79% (262/331)
Long passes
47% (31/66)	51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)	59% (55/93)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.62
Throw-ins
19	21
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
80% (20/25)	68% (15/22)
Duels won
52	63
Clearances
22	22
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.60	1.29
Goals prevented
-0.40	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Chupe ⚽, Juanpe (A),
20', 2 - 0, Chupe ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Casadesus P. ⚽, Bouldini M. (A),
45+1', Bouldini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
46', Bouldini M. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Aleman P. ⚽,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
61', Rodriguez R. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
64', Montero J. 🟨,
68', Juanpe 🟨,
69', Saenz P. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
69', Ruiz S. ↓, Alcaraz R. ↑,
73', Sola A. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
78', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
83', Casadesus P. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
85', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/329tpfwa

Chances of winning

Málaga
42.5%

Draw
31.7%

Granada
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.1%

29.6%

Málaga - Granada Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	2.97 ↓ (3.35)	3.69 ↑ (3.06)	5.3% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Málaga - Granada?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Granada (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Málaga (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Granada (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
Málaga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Granada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Granada has had a series of home games.
Málaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (International duty) Pastor A. (Injury)
There will not play in Granada: Astralaga A. (International duty) Diallo B. (Injury) Haro P. (Red Card) Hongla M. (International duty)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Granada?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Málaga?

Granada has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Granada were as follows:

03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0

20.09.2024 Granada - Málaga 2:2

27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0

08.12.2022 Málaga - Granada 1:1

Latest results of Málaga

31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Málaga - Betis 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Oxford United - Málaga 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Granada

31.08.2025 Granada - Mirandés 1:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Eibar - Granada 3:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Granada - Deportivo La Coruña 1:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Granada - Al Ain 0:3 ✺

30.07.2025 Granada - Al-Rayyan Canceled ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	25	14	5	6	51:33	18	47
2	Castellon	25	13	6	6	42:25	17	45
3	Dep. La Coruna	25	12	7	6	40:27	13	43
4	Almeria	25	12	6	7	47:36	11	42
5	Malaga	25	12	5	8	38:29	9	41
6	Las Palmas	25	10	10	5	29:20	9	40
7	Burgos CF	25	11	6	8	28:24	4	39
8	Gijon	25	12	3	10	35:33	2	39
9	Cordoba	24	10	8	6	32:27	5	38
10	Ceuta	24	10	5	9	30:34	-4	35
11	Cadiz CF	25	9	7	9	27:29	-2	34
12	Albacete	25	9	6	10	31:36	-5	33
13	Leganes	25	8	8	9	27:25	2	32
14	Eibar	25	8	8	9	26:27	-1	32
15	Granada CF	25	6	11	8	26:29	-3	29
16	Andorra	25	7	8	10	27:35	-8	29
17	Real Sociedad B	25	7	7	11	32:35	-3	28
18	Valladolid	25	7	7	11	25:31	-6	28
19	Huesca	25	7	6	12	23:34	-11	27
20	Cultural Leonesa	25	7	4	14	26:40	-14	25
21	Zaragoza	25	5	8	12	22:38	-16	23
22	Mirandes	25	5	5	15	25:42	-17	20

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