Granada vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada).

LaLiga2 - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.04	2.10
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
1	5
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
77% (219/284)	78% (311/398)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.04	2.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.03	1.20
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked shots
1	4
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
3	7
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
18	27
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
13	13
Passes
77% (219/284)	78% (311/398)
Long passes
30% (14/47)	60% (45/75)
Passes in final third
63% (37/59)	64% (76/118)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.77
Throw ins
24	41
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
63% (17/27)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
61	39
Clearances
29	12
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.20	0.03
Goals prevented
0.20	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Puga C. 🟨,
27', Lama M. 🟨,
29', Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
34', Aleman P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Aleman P. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
63', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
67', Petit G. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
67', Diocou B. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
67', Naasei O. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
77', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
77', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
77', Dotor C. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
80', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
81', Diallo B. 🟨,
86', 0 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽,
89', Rafita 🟨,
90', Larrubia D. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/55bde5xp

Chances of winning

Granada
42.1%

Draw
31%

Málaga
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Granada - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	3.03 ↓ (3.33)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	6.4% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Granada - Málaga?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 35.7% – 80.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Granada (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Granada might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Granada: Casadesus P. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Málaga: Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Granada won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 0.9:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Málaga?

Granada has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Granada?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Málaga were as follows:

06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2

03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0

20.09.2024 Granada - Málaga 2:2

27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0

08.12.2022 Málaga - Granada 1:1

Latest results of Granada

20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Granada - Valladolid 5:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Leganés - Granada 1:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Granada - Racing Santander 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Cádiz - Granada 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

22.02.2026 Málaga - Albacete Balompié 1:0 ✺

16.02.2026 Real Sociedad B - Málaga 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation