Las Palmas vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

LaLiga2 - Round 3
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4
Argentina	Dsports 9
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.60
Ball Possession
68%	32%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
88% (530/602)	73% (208/285)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	0.25
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
26	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
18	7
Passes
88% (530/602)	73% (208/285)
Long passes
61% (25/41)	45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
79% (146/184)	55% (38/69)
Crosses
12% (4/33)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	0.36
Throw-ins
23	24
Fouls
7	17
Tackles
57% (12/21)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
61	41
Clearances
22	30
Interceptions
23	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.25	0.60
Goals prevented
-0.75	0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Murillo D. 🟨,
11', Garcia V. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Juanpe (A),
45+2', Lukovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia V. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
58', Rodriguez R. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
59', Recoba J. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
68', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
68', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
69', Clemente E. 🟨,
74', Montero J. 🟨,
75', Loiodice E. ↓, Cedeno E. ↑,
75', Marmol M. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
83', Lukovic M. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
83', Marvin ↓, Pejino ↑,
85', Juanpe ↓, Galilea E. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/53txv8mx

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
51.3%

Draw
27.6%

Málaga
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

28.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Las Palmas - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	4.44 ↑ (3.88)	6.4% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Málaga?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 54% – 99.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Las Palmas will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Málaga has had a series of home games.
In this match, Las Palmas is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Las Palmas: Gil I. (Injury) Pezzolesi V. (Red Card) Ramirez S. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Knee Injury) Jauregi E. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Málaga?

Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Las Palmas?

Málaga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Málaga were as follows:

11.03.2023 Las Palmas - Málaga 2:2

22.08.2022 Málaga - Las Palmas 0:4

Latest results of Las Palmas

25.08.2025 Córdoba - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺

17.08.2025 Las Palmas - FC Andorra 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1 ✺

21.07.2025 Las Palmas - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Málaga - Betis 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Oxford United - Málaga 3:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Málaga - Al-Wakrah 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

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