Las Palmas vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Las Palmas - Málaga
Result
2:2
11/03/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
62.7%
Draw
24%
Málaga
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 26.2% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 25.5% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Las Palmas - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.58)
    3.94
    (3.51)
    6.99
    (5.98)
    6.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 71.8%98.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (31.23%), has project points - 75, has currently - 57, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a good chance of promoted (64%), has a chance of win league (31%).
    • Málaga has the most likely position - 20 (28.33%), has project points - 39, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 33, importance 61, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2.
    • Las Palmas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Málaga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Las Palmas is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Málaga were as follows:
    22.08.2022 Málaga - Las Palmas 0:4
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    03.03.2023 FC Andorra - Las Palmas 0:0
    26.02.2023 Las Palmas - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2023 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:0
    11.02.2023 Las Palmas - Lugo 3:0
    06.02.2023 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    Latest results of Málaga
    05.03.2023 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:1
    27.02.2023 Granada - Málaga 1:0
    20.02.2023 Málaga - Zaragoza 3:0
    03.02.2023 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation