Las Palmas vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Las Palmas - Málaga
Result
0:1
31/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.60
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
88% (530/602)73% (208/285)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.25
Total shots
149
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
187
Passes
88% (530/602)73% (208/285)
Long passes
61% (25/41)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
79% (146/184)55% (38/69)
Crosses
12% (4/33)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.36
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
717
Tackles
57% (12/21)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6141
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
2310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.250.60
Goals prevented
-0.750.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Murillo D. 🟨,
  • 11', Garcia V. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Rodriguez R. , Juanpe (A),
  • 45+2', Lukovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Garcia V. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 58', Rodriguez R. , Dotor C. ,
  • 59', Recoba J. , Viera J. ,
  • 68', Chupe , Nino A. ,
  • 68', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 69', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 74', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 75', Loiodice E. , Cedeno E. ,
  • 75', Marmol M. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 83', Lukovic M. , Cardona M. ,
  • 83', Marvin , Pejino ,
  • 85', Juanpe , Galilea E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/53txv8mx

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
51.3%
Draw
27.6%
Málaga
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 28.2% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 28.4% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Las Palmas - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.94)
    3.38
    (3.3)
    4.44
    (3.88)
    6.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Málaga has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Las Palmas is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Gil I. (Injury) Pezzolesi V. (Red Card) Ramirez S. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Knee Injury) Jauregi E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Málaga were as follows:
    11.03.2023 Las Palmas - Málaga 2:2
    22.08.2022 Málaga - Las Palmas 0:4
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    25.08.2025 Córdoba - Las Palmas 1:3
    17.08.2025 Las Palmas - FC Andorra 1:1
    02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1
    24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1
    09.08.2025 Málaga - Betis 3:1
    02.08.2025 Oxford United - Málaga 3:0
    30.07.2025 Málaga - Al-Wakrah 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna844017:61116
    2Racing Santander851221:14716
    3Cadiz CF84319:6315
    4Andorra842213:10314
    5Las Palmas84228:5314
    6Huesca84138:10-213
    7Burgos CF833213:9412
    8Valladolid83329:6312
    9Almeria833214:14012
    10Eibar832310:7311
    11Castellon832313:12111
    12Ceuta83238:12-411
    13Leganes82428:7110
    14Gijon830511:14-39
    15Cordoba82339:12-39
    16Albacete722314:16-28
    17Mirandes82249:12-38
    18Granada CF822411:15-48
    19Malaga82246:10-48
    20Cultural Leonesa72147:12-57
    21Zaragoza81344:8-46
    22Real Sociedad B813411:16-56

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