Málaga vs Real Sociedad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa del Rey Málaga - Real Sociedad
Result
0:1
07/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV

Chances of winning


Málaga
8.7%
Draw
20.1%
Real Sociedad
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 22.8% 62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 21.6% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Málaga's form might have worsened.
  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Málaga - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.89
    (6.55)
    4.66
    (4.09)
    1.32
    (1.48)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Málaga - Real Sociedad?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 53.9%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 2.
    • Málaga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Real Sociedad is absolute favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Málaga won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.
    Latest results of Málaga
    02.01.2024 Intercity - Málaga 2:2
    17.12.2023 Málaga - Algeciras 2:1
    10.12.2023 Mérida AD - Málaga 1:2
    06.12.2023 Málaga - Eldense 1:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Textil EscudoSD Negreira0 : 4, 2 : 1
    2Puerto de VegaCCD Alberite1 : 1, 4 : 0
    3Deportivo GetxoBetis Valladolid2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Sant JustAtletico Calatayud4 : 1, 3 : 0
    5CD Sant JordiLourdes3 : 1, 1 : 0
    6ManisesUD Los Garres0 : 4, 2 : 0
    7Atletico MelillaPalma del Rio0 : 2, 0 : 5
    8Sporting CeutaMaracena0 : 2, 1 : 1
    9CampanarioCD Yuncos0 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Inter de ValdemoroUniv. Julio Suarez3 : 1, 1 : 1