Result
2:1
16/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | DAZN, Disney+ |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Ecuador | DAZN |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 2 |
Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Uruguay | DAZN, Disney+ |
Venezuela | DAZN, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/331) | 83% (353/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/331) | 83% (353/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (36/61) | 74% (99/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 50% (9/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Juanpe 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽,
- 38', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Juanpe ↓, Merino I. ↑,
- 55', Ochoa A. 🟨,
- 56', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
- 62', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
- 62', Ochoa A. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Ochieng J. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
- 71', Munoz J. 🟨,
- 72', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
- 74', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
- 77', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
- 78', Rafita 🟨,
- 79', Dotor C. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
- 85', Astiazaran L. ↓, Unax A. ↑,
- 85', Carrera G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
- 88', Balda J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodriguez M. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
- 90+4', Garro J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mry86utd
Chances of winning
Real Sociedad B 34.3% | Draw 30.1% | Málaga 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Real Sociedad B - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↓ (2.91) |
3.11 ↓ (3.22) |
2.65 ↑ (2.47) |
6.1% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Málaga?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Real Sociedad B (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Real Sociedad B (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Málaga will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Málaga (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Real Sociedad B has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I.
(Injury)
Dadie Izagirre A.
(Yellow Cards)
Olasagasti L.
(Injury)
Orobengoa E.
(Knee Injury)
Ruperez I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D.
(Knee Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Galilea E.
(Yellow Cards)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez D.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad B won against Málaga?
Real Sociedad B has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Real Sociedad B?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad B - Málaga were as follows:
24.08.2025
Málaga
-
Real Sociedad B
1:0
Latest results of Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellon | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | Malaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Cadiz CF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation