Málaga vs Sporting de Gijón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Football Spanish LaLiga2 Málaga - Sporting de Gijón
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 40
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
indiaIndiaGXR World
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.28
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
78% (347/444)70% (270/385)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.87
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
116
Passes
78% (347/444)70% (270/385)
Long passes
46% (29/63)30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
64% (70/110)64% (64/100)
Crosses
38% (5/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.44
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
611
Tackles
65% (13/20)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
1110
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.872.19
Goals prevented
-0.130.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Otero J. ⚽,
  • 60', Lobete J. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
  • 60', Merino I. ↓, Dioni ↑,
  • 63', Puga C. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Chupe ⚽,
  • 68', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
  • 74', Serrano N. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
  • 77', Garcia P. 🟨,
  • 77', Murillo D. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Chupe ⚽,
  • 84', Chupe 🟨,
  • 88', Garcia P. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
  • 88', Olaetxea L. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
  • 88', Larrubia D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
  • 88', Chupe ↓, Juanpe ↑,
  • 90', Pastor A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4v88v7uc

Chances of winning


Málaga
37.3%		Draw
34%		Sporting de Gijón
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 31.9% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 32.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Málaga - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.52 ↑
    (2.16)    		 2.77 ↑
    (2.75)    		 3.27 ↑
    (3.2)    		 6.3%
    (13.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Ochoa A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Dotor C. (Injury) Dubasin J. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 1:3
    29.01.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 0:0
    06.11.2022 Málaga - Sporting de Gijón 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    11.05.2025 Eldense - Málaga 1:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺
    21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2 ✺
    14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    10.05.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1 ✺
    05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3 ✺
    25.04.2025 Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Eldense - Sporting de Gijón 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

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