Málaga vs Sporting de Gijón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Málaga - Sporting de Gijón
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 40
Málaga - Sporting de Gijón - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.28
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
78% (347/444)70% (270/385)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.87
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
116
Passes
78% (347/444)70% (270/385)
Long passes
46% (29/63)30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
64% (70/110)64% (64/100)
Crosses
38% (5/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.44
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
611
Tackles
65% (13/20)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
1110
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.872.19
Goals prevented
-0.130.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Otero J. ,
  • 60', Lobete J. , Molina M. ,
  • 60', Merino I. , Dioni ,
  • 63', Puga C. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Chupe ,
  • 68', Gelabert Pina C. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 74', Serrano N. , Queipo D. ,
  • 77', Garcia P. 🟨,
  • 77', Murillo D. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Chupe ,
  • 84', Chupe 🟨,
  • 88', Garcia P. , Martin N. ,
  • 88', Olaetxea L. , Campuzano V. ,
  • 88', Larrubia D. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 88', Chupe , Juanpe ,
  • 90', Pastor A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4v88v7uc

Chances of winning


Málaga
37.3%
Draw
34%
Sporting de Gijón
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 31.9% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 32.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Málaga - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.16)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    6.3%
    (13.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Málaga - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Ochoa A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Dotor C. (Injury) Dubasin J. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 1:3
    29.01.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Málaga 0:0
    06.11.2022 Málaga - Sporting de Gijón 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    11.05.2025 Eldense - Málaga 1:0
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2
    14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1R. Oviedo (3)Almeria (6)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Mirandes (4)Racing Santander (5)4 : 1, 3 : 3

    Final
    1R. Oviedo (3)Mirandes (4)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Sporting de Gijón?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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