Result
1:3
04/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 20
- Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (404/469) | 84% (376/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 3.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (404/469) | 84% (376/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 54% (43/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (135/176) | 71% (73/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.83 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Chupe ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
- 42', Larrubia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 2, Nino A. ⚽,
- 64', Nino A. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 64', Ochoa A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 66', Campos G. ↓, Corredera A. ↑,
- 66', Vazquez P. ↓, Olivan B. ↑,
- 73', Bernal J. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 2, Otero J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Olivan B. 🟥,
- 86', Larrubia D. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Lobete J. ⚽,
- 88', Lobete J. 🟨,
- 90', Dotor C. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
- 90', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
- 90+7', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Puga C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5avb4ymy
Chances of winning
Sporting de Gijón
50.8% | Draw
27.5% | Málaga
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Sporting de Gijón - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.96) |
3.39 ↑
(3.33) |
4.28 ↑
(4.02) |
7.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Málaga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sporting de Gijón will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 0.
- Sporting de Gijón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Málaga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sporting de Gijón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting de Gijón is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Loum M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D.
(Knee Injury)
Diarra M.
(Knee Injury)
Dorrio J.
(Muscle Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia V.
(Yellow Cards)
Juanpe
(Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez D.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Málaga?
Sporting de Gijón has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Sporting de Gijón?
Málaga has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Málaga were as follows:
17.05.2025
Málaga
-
Sporting de Gijón
2:1
21.12.2024
Sporting de Gijón
-
Málaga
1:3
29.01.2023
Sporting de Gijón
-
Málaga
0:0
06.11.2022
Málaga
-
Sporting de Gijón
1:1
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
