Mali vs Zambia, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
1:1
22/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Round 1
  • Referee: Artan O. A. (Som)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaTPA 1, TPA
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
beninBeninBenin TV
brazilBrazilBand Play
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
burkina-fasoBurkina-fasoRTB
cameroonCameroonCanal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Equinoxe
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
colombiaColombiaWin play
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
equatorial-guineaEquatorial-guineaTVGE Internacional
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
gabonGabonGroupe Gabon Televisions
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceERT Sports 1, ERT Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalySportitalia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv, KBC Channel 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
maliMaliORTM
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
moroccoMoroccoArryadia, Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
mozambiqueMozambiqueTVM 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayVG+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
republic-of-the-congoRepublic-of-the-congoTele Congo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 2, SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven, Channel 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.68
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (351/427)79% (298/375)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.131.00
Total shots
157
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
82% (351/427)79% (298/375)
Long passes
40% (21/52)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
75% (97/130)66% (48/73)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.52
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1513
Tackles
68% (13/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5949
Clearances
2121
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.002.13
Goals prevented
0.001.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Toure E. B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. ⚽,
  • 65', Dieng A. 🟨,
  • 67', Banda L. ↓, Sabobo J. ↑,
  • 67', Chaiwa M. ↓, Simukonda D. ↑,
  • 69', Simukonda D. 🟨,
  • 76', Toure E. B. ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
  • 76', Nene D. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
  • 78', Sakala F. ↓, Musonda K. ↑,
  • 86', Doumbia K. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Daka P. ⚽, Banda M. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n72spbu

Chances of winning


Mali
56.3%		Draw
27.8%		Zambia
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 24.7% 13.9%

Mali - Zambia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.68 ↑
(1.52)		 3.45 ↓
(3.79)		 5.99 ↓
(6.73)		 5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mali - Zambia?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mali will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Zambia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mali: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mali (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zambia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Zambia (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Mali (1.14) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Zambia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Mali (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Mali (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Mali (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Mali (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Mali (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Mali (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Mali (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Mali (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mali (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Mali (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Zambia (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Mali (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Zambia (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Mali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mali is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Mali: Traore H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mali: Niakate S. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mali won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mali - Zambia were as follows:
    26.09.2022 Mali - Zambia 0:0
    23.09.2022 Mali - Zambia 1:0
    Latest results of Mali
    18.11.2025 Jordan - Mali 0:0 ✺
    12.10.2025 Mali - Madagascar 4:1 ✺
    08.10.2025 Chad - Mali 0:2 ✺
    08.09.2025 Ghana - Mali 1:0 ✺
    04.09.2025 Mali - Comoros 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Zambia
    16.12.2025 D.R. Congo - Zambia 2:0 ✺
    15.11.2025 South Africa - Zambia 3:1 ✺
    12.10.2025 Zambia - Niger 0:1 ✺
    08.10.2025 Tanzania - Zambia 0:1 ✺
    08.09.2025 Zambia - Morocco 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Mali (A2)Tunisia (C2)2 : 1
    2Senegal (D1)Sudan (E3)3 : 1
    3Egypt (B1)Benin (D3)3 : 1
    4Ivory Coast (F1)Burkina Faso (E2)3 : 0
    5Algeria (E1)D.R. Congo (D2)1 : 0
    6Nigeria (C1)Mozambique (F3)4 : 0
    7South Africa (B2)Cameroon (F2)1 : 2
    8Morocco (A1)Tanzania (C3)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mali (A2)Senegal (D1)0 : 1
    2Egypt (B1)Ivory Coast (F1)3 : 2
    3Algeria (E1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 2
    4Cameroon (F2)Morocco (A1)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Senegal (D1)Egypt (B1)1 : 0
    2Nigeria (C1)Morocco (A1)0 : 1

    Final
    1Senegal (D1)Morocco (A1)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Egypt (B1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 1
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