Result
1:4
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 8
- Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 3.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (195/262) | 88% (468/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 3.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 3.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (195/262) | 88% (468/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (17/50) | 60% (26/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 82% (146/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.45 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Johnsen L. (Pen),
- 28', 0 - 2, Ekong E. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 3, Bolin H. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
- 52', Rosler C. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 3, Rafferty M. (Pen),
- 55', Diaby M. 🟨,
- 58', Fisic A. ↓, Faraj O. ↑,
- 58', Barsoum E. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
- 71', Ekong E. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 71', Rosengren O. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
- 71', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
- 78', Bolin H. 🟨,
- 80', Rafferty M. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
- 80', Diaby M. ↓, Heden A. ↑,
- 84', Bolin H. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 86', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
- 88', Gronborg T. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Christiansen A. ⚽, Kiese I. (A),
- 90+2', Ali T. ↓, Loukili Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Degerfors
17.9% | Draw
23.7% | Malmö
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Degerfors - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.37 ↓
(5.5) |
4 ↓
(4.2) |
1.63 ↑
(1.58) |
5.1%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Degerfors - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0.
- Recent form of Degerfors has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Malmö has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Degerfors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Malmö is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Inactive)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Haksabanovic S.
(Inactive)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Jansson P.
(Inactive)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Sigurdsson A.
(Inactive)
Tinnerholm A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Degerfors: Faraj O.
(Inactive)
Lundgren M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:31. (average 0.8:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Degerfors won against Malmö?
Degerfors has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Degerfors?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - Malmö were as follows:
23.09.2023
Degerfors
-
Malmö
1:2
05.06.2023
Malmö
-
Degerfors
5:0
05.03.2023
Malmö
-
Degerfors
2:1
06.11.2022
Malmö
-
Degerfors
2:2
Latest results of Degerfors
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
