Malmö vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Malmö - Värnamo
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Malmö
77.4%
Draw
14.4%
Värnamo
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.1% 13.6% 7.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Malmö - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.2)
    6.52
    (6.95)
    11.61
    (13)
    6.6%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.
    • Malmö has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Värnamo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Värnamo were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Värnamo - Malmö 2:2
    06.10.2024 Malmö - Värnamo 1:1
    15.04.2024 Värnamo - Malmö 0:4
    31.07.2023 Malmö - Värnamo 3:1
    10.06.2023 Värnamo - Malmö 1:3
    Latest results of Malmö
    20.09.2025 Malmö - Djurgården 0:1
    17.09.2025 Olympic - Malmö 0:1
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    Latest results of Värnamo
    22.09.2025 Värnamo - Halmstad 1:2
    14.09.2025 Öster - Värnamo 4:3
    30.08.2025 IFK Göteborg - Värnamo 1:0
    24.08.2025 Värnamo - Häcken 1:5
    18.08.2025 Värnamo - Degerfors 3:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby24176144:172757
    2Hammarby24154549:242549
    3AIK24127531:23843
    4GAIS24118535:231241
    5Goteborg24132933:29441
    6Malmo FF24109536:211539
    7Djurgarden24108632:23938
    8Elfsborg24114939:36337
    9Brommapojkarna24921337:37029
    10Norrkoping24851137:45-829
    11Sirius24751236:39-326
    12Hacken24751233:44-1126
    13Halmstad24741320:44-2425
    14Oster24571222:35-1322
    15Degerfors24541524:46-2219
    16Varnamo24261627:49-2212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan