Malmö vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Malmö - Värnamo
Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 25
  • Referee: Sars J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.74
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
79% (374/471)84% (407/484)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.14
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
915
Passes
79% (374/471)84% (407/484)
Long passes
35% (18/52)52% (34/65)
Passes in final third
68% (113/167)55% (41/74)
Crosses
43% (10/23)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.23
Throw-ins
3121
Fouls
159
Tackles
77% (17/22)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4657
Clearances
835
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.141.50
Goals prevented
-0.86-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Zeljkovic A. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Ekong E. , Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Jansson P. , Busanello (A),
  • 59', 2 - 2, Zeljkovic A. , Liimatta O. (A),
  • 60', Skogmar A. , Christiansen A. ,
  • 60', Gudjohnsen D. T. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 69', Bolin H. 🟨,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Christiansen A. ,
  • 73', Ekong E. , Soumah S. ,
  • 77', Johansson C. , Thern S. ,
  • 77', Antonsen K. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 81', Larsson V. 🟨,
  • 85', Shamoun N. , Meriluoto K. ,
  • 87', Liimatta O. , Andersson H. ,
  • 87', Haksabanovic S. , Holmquist S. ,

Chances of winning


Malmö
80.7%
Draw
13%
Värnamo
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.1% 13.6% 7.3%

Malmö - Värnamo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.17
(1.2)
7.36
(6.95)
15.59
(13)
5.2%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Värnamo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.
    • Recent performances by Malmö have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Värnamo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Frejd Palsson M. (Inactive) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Rosengren O. (Yellow Cards) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Värnamo were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Värnamo - Malmö 2:2
    06.10.2024 Malmö - Värnamo 1:1
    15.04.2024 Värnamo - Malmö 0:4
    31.07.2023 Malmö - Värnamo 3:1
    10.06.2023 Värnamo - Malmö 1:3
    Latest results of Malmö
    20.09.2025 Malmö - Djurgården 0:1
    17.09.2025 Olympic - Malmö 0:1
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    Latest results of Värnamo
    22.09.2025 Värnamo - Halmstad 1:2
    14.09.2025 Öster - Värnamo 4:3
    30.08.2025 IFK Göteborg - Värnamo 1:0
    24.08.2025 Värnamo - Häcken 1:5
    18.08.2025 Värnamo - Degerfors 3:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby ✔ 29226156:183872
    2Hammarby ✔ 29185657:292859
    3GAIS ✔ 291410544:281652
    4AIK29139740:31948
    5Goteborg291531139:33648
    6Djurgarden291210749:311846
    7Malmo FF291210744:321246
    8Elfsborg291241345:48-340
    9Sirius291061350:50036
    10Hacken29981242:49-735
    11Halmstad29951522:50-2832
    12Brommapojkarna29941639:44-531
    13Norrkoping29851640:55-1529
    14Degerfors29761630:51-2127
    15Oster29681528:45-1726
    16Varnamo ✔ 29371935:66-3116

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    GAIS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan