Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 25
- Referee: Sars J. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (374/471) | 84% (407/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (374/471) | 84% (407/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 52% (34/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (113/167) | 55% (41/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Zeljkovic A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ekong E. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Jansson P. ⚽, Busanello (A),
- 59', 2 - 2, Zeljkovic A. ⚽, Liimatta O. (A),
- 60', Skogmar A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
- 60', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 69', Bolin H. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 2, Christiansen A. ⚽,
- 73', Ekong E. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
- 77', Johansson C. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
- 77', Antonsen K. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 81', Larsson V. 🟨,
- 85', Shamoun N. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 87', Liimatta O. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 87', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Malmö
80.7% | Draw
13% | Värnamo
6.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Malmö - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.17 ↓
(1.2) |
7.36 ↑
(6.95) |
15.59 ↑
(13) |
5.2%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.
- Recent performances by Malmö have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Värnamo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Frejd Palsson M.
(Inactive)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Rosengren O.
(Yellow Cards)
Sigurdsson A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Värnamo?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Malmö?
Värnamo has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Värnamo were as follows:
15.05.2025
Värnamo
-
Malmö
2:2
06.10.2024
Malmö
-
Värnamo
1:1
15.04.2024
Värnamo
-
Malmö
0:4
31.07.2023
Malmö
-
Värnamo
3:1
10.06.2023
Värnamo
-
Malmö
1:3
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | AIK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vasteras SK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Orgryte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Malmo FF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Halmstad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kalmar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | GAIS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Goteborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Mjallby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
