Result
2:2
15/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 9
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (217/286) | 87% (496/573) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 55 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (217/286) | 87% (496/573) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 76% (141/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (22/27) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen D. T. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Alsalkhadi M. ⚽, Wenderson (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Jansson P. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Rosengren O. 🟨,
- 70', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
- 70', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Botheim E. ↑,
- 71', Ekong E. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
- 78', Thern S. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
- 78', Cibicki P. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Junior Adjei F. ⚽, Johansson C. (A),
- 84', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Abdulrazak I. ↑,
- 86', Botheim E. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
- 87', Karlsson J. ↓, Busanello ↑,
- 90+1', Rosengren O. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
16.5% | Draw
22.7% | Malmö
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Värnamo - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.78 ↑
(5.1) |
4.18 ↑
(4.1) |
1.56 ↓
(1.63) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
Malmö will win
(25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0.
- Värnamo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Malmö's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Malmö is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Haksabanovic S.
(Inactive)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Jansson P.
(Inactive)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Sigurdsson A.
(Inactive)
Tinnerholm A.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Malmö?
Värnamo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Värnamo?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Malmö were as follows:
06.10.2024
Malmö
-
Värnamo
1:1
15.04.2024
Värnamo
-
Malmö
0:4
31.07.2023
Malmö
-
Värnamo
3:1
10.06.2023
Värnamo
-
Malmö
1:3
09.10.2022
Malmö
-
Värnamo
0:0
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
