Värnamo vs Malmö – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Värnamo - Malmö
Result
2:2
15/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 9
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.012.22
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
76% (217/286)87% (496/573)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.012.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.67
Total shots
818
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
1655
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
813
Passes
76% (217/286)87% (496/573)
Long passes
35% (16/46)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)76% (141/186)
Crosses
38% (5/13)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.832.30
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
138
Tackles
81% (22/27)63% (17/27)
Duels won
5167
Clearances
3117
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.671.19
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen D. T. , Rosengren O. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Alsalkhadi M. , Wenderson (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Jansson P. , Rosengren O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Rosengren O. 🟨,
  • 70', Zeljkovic A. , Johansson C. ,
  • 70', Gudjohnsen D. T. , Botheim E. ,
  • 71', Ekong E. , Christiansen A. ,
  • 78', Thern S. , Junior Adjei F. ,
  • 78', Cibicki P. , Bilalovic K. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Junior Adjei F. , Johansson C. (A),
  • 84', Alsalkhadi M. , Abdulrazak I. ,
  • 86', Botheim E. , Kiese I. ,
  • 87', Karlsson J. , Busanello ,
  • 90+1', Rosengren O. , Haksabanovic S. ,

Chances of winning


Värnamo
16.5%
Draw
22.7%
Malmö
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 23.2% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 21.8% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Värnamo - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.78
    (5.1)
    4.18
    (4.1)
    1.56
    (1.63)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Värnamo - Malmö?
  • Users Predictions: Malmö will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.75%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0.
    • Värnamo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Malmö's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Malmö is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Haksabanovic S. (Inactive) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Jansson P. (Inactive) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Inactive) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Malmö were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Malmö - Värnamo 1:1
    15.04.2024 Värnamo - Malmö 0:4
    31.07.2023 Malmö - Värnamo 3:1
    10.06.2023 Värnamo - Malmö 1:3
    09.10.2022 Malmö - Värnamo 0:0
    Latest results of Värnamo
    10.05.2025 GAIS - Värnamo 1:1
    03.05.2025 Halmstad - Värnamo 4:2
    27.04.2025 Värnamo - Norrköping 1:3
    24.04.2025 Värnamo - AIK 1:2
    20.04.2025 Brommapojkarna - Värnamo 3:2
    Latest results of Malmö
    11.05.2025 Degerfors - Malmö 1:4
    05.05.2025 Malmö - Brommapojkarna 1:2
    29.04.2025 Malmö - Öster 2:0
    23.04.2025 Hammarby - Malmö 2:0
    18.04.2025 Malmö - Sirius 1:1
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby17124133:132040
    2Hammarby17113331:141736
    3AIK1795324:16832
    4Malmo FF1786325:121330
    5Elfsborg1692527:19829
    6GAIS1677224:131128
    7Goteborg1681721:22-125
    8Hacken1664624:25-122
    9Djurgarden1664615:17-222
    10Brommapojkarna1661921:22-119
    11Norrkoping1653825:29-418
    12Halmstad1652914:31-1717
    13Sirius1634921:28-713
    14Degerfors16411118:36-1813
    15Oster16331012:23-1112
    16Varnamo16141113:28-157

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan