Lithuania vs Malta, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas (Kaunas).

World Championship - Qualification
Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 5
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 5
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	1.82
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
73% (225/309)	76% (190/249)
Yellow Cards
5	6
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	1.48
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
25	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
18	17
Passes
73% (225/309)	76% (190/249)
Long passes
47% (28/60)	44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
55% (63/115)	65% (47/72)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	1.19
Throw-ins
34	17
Fouls
17	18
Tackles
60% (9/15)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
66	56
Clearances
24	44
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.48	1.56
Goals prevented
0.48	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Satariano A. 🟨,
26', Mbong P. 🟨,
35', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
43', Shaw K. 🟨,
45+2', Beerman M. 🟨,
45+3', Dolznikov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Beerman M. ↓, Corbalan J. C. ↑,
46', Dolznikov A. ↓, Jankauskas E. ↑,
48', Vorobjovas M. 🟨,
64', Paiber B. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
65', Utkus E. 🟨,
68', Sirgedas G. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
68', Upstas K. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
74', Mbong J. ↓, Overend A. ↑,
74', Mbong P. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
76', Vorobjovas M. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Satariano A. ⚽, Overend A. (A),
86', Cardona I. ↓, Azzopardi J. ↑,
90+1', Azzopardi J. 🟥,
90+5', Muscat Z. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Gineitis G. (Pen),
90+10', Utkus E. 🟨,
90+10', Grech J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lithuania
50.5%

Draw
30.7%

Malta
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

32.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

Malta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Lithuania - Malta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)	3.12 ↑ (2.97)	4.92 ↑ (4.29)	3.5% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lithuania - Malta?

Users Predictions: Lithuania will win (76 of 81 users predict this - 93.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.59% – 99.07%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lithuania will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match, Lithuania is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Lithuania won against Malta?

Lithuania has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Malta won against Lithuania?

Malta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lithuania - Malta were as follows:

07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0

Latest results of Lithuania

10.06.2025 Denmark - Lithuania 5:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0 ✺

24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2 ✺

21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0 ✺

18.11.2024 Kosovo - Lithuania 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Malta

10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0 ✺

24.03.2025 Poland - Malta 2:0 ✺

21.03.2025 Malta - Finland 0:1 ✺

19.11.2024 Malta - Andorra 0:0 ✺

FIFA World Cup Table

South America

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Argentina	18	12	2	4	31:10	21	38
2	Ecuador	18	8	8	2	14:5	9	29
3	Colombia	18	7	7	4	28:18	10	28
4	Uruguay	18	7	7	4	22:12	10	28
5	Brazil	18	8	4	6	24:17	7	28
6	Paraguay	18	7	7	4	14:10	4	28
7	Bolivia	18	6	2	10	17:35	-18	20
8	Venezuela	18	4	6	8	18:28	-10	18
9	Peru	18	2	6	10	6:21	-15	12
10	Chile	18	2	5	11	9:27	-18	11

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