Result
19/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Malvín
39% | Peñarol de Montevideo
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malvín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Malvín - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.57) |
|
1.5 ↑
(1.43) |
9.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 157.75
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 1.
- Malvín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peñarol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Peñarol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1240:1323. (average 72.9:77.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 534:502. (average 76.3:71.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Malvín won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Malvín has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Malvín?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
15.12.2025
Malvín
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
67:89
16.10.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Malvín
89:79
27.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Malvín
82:73
24.01.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Malvín
79:70
07.11.2024
Malvín
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
75:73
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2101:1777 | 42 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 25 | 15 | 10 | 2103:2072 | 40 |
| 3 | Malvin | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1974:1938 | 38 |
| 4 | Aguada | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2205:2061 | 37 |
| 5 | Defensor | 25 | 12 | 13 | 2152:2134 | 37 |
| 6 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
