Result
67:96
19/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 57 | 65 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 42.11% | 53.85% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 48.39% | 65.63% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 34.62% | 42.42% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 62.5% | 70.6% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
Chances of winning
Malvín
36% | Peñarol de Montevideo
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malvín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Malvín - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.57) |
|
1.43
(1.43) |
9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Malvín - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +6.5, OT - Malvín (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +5.5, OT - Malvín (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +5, OT - Malvín (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5, OT - Malvín (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4, OT - Malvín (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +5.5 - Malvín (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +5 - Malvín (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5 - Malvín (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4 - Malvín (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5, OT - Malvín (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3, OT - Malvín (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3 - Malvín (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 - Malvín (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +8 - Malvín (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +7 - Malvín (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +6.5 - Malvín (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +6 - Malvín (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5, OT - Malvín (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5, OT - Malvín (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +8.5, OT - Malvín (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +7.5, OT - Malvín (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malvín will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Malvín (votes: 24 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:82.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 1.
- In recent matches, Malvín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peñarol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Peñarol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1240:1323. (average 72.9:77.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 534:502. (average 76.3:71.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Malvín won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Malvín has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Malvín?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
15.12.2025
Malvín
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
67:89
16.10.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Malvín
89:79
27.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Malvín
82:73
24.01.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Malvín
79:70
07.11.2024
Malvín
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
75:73
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 26 | 22 | 4 | 2294:1931 | 46 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2350:2364 | 43 |
| 3 | Malvin | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2264:2281 | 43 |
| 4 | Aguada | 26 | 19 | 7 | 2390:2206 | 41 |
| 5 | Nacional | 26 | 17 | 9 | 2381:2135 | 41 |
| 6 | Defensor | 28 | 13 | 15 | 2385:2391 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
