Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense
Result
0:0
25/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.32
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
89% (495/554)83% (214/258)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.00
Total shots
76
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
24
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
127
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
46
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
89% (495/554)83% (214/258)
Long passes
44% (17/39)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
83% (92/111)72% (55/76)
Crosses
17% (1/6)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.31
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1312
Tackles
40% (6/15)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3436
Clearances
1115
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.48
Goals prevented
0.000.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Mokoena T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mokoena T. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
  • 60', Cupido K. ↓, Lebusa M. ↑,
  • 60', Matthews T. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
  • 67', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
  • 67', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
  • 77', Ribeiro L. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
  • 77', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
  • 85', Zwane T. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
  • 86', Nonato ↓, Thiago Silva ↑,
  • 86', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
  • 88', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 89', Bernal F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rene 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lethlaku K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mamelodi Sundowns
24.4%		Draw
28.9%		Fluminense
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 20.1% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 19.3% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4 ↓
    (5.87)    		 3.37 ↓
    (4.79)    		 2.05 ↑
    (1.52)    		 3.4%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 10 - 18.2%). Fluminense will win (votes: 35 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 50.9% – 76.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Fluminense (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Mamelodi Sundowns have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fluminense is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Fluminense has had a series of home games.
    • Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mamelodi Sundowns: Nyanga S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva (Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury) Soteldo Y. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    21.06.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund 3:4 ✺
    17.06.2025 Ulsan HD - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1 ✺
    01.06.2025 Pyramids - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:1 ✺
    24.05.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Pyramids 1:1 ✺
    18.05.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi 2:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    21.06.2025 Fluminense - Ulsan HD 4:2 ✺
    17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺
    01.06.2025 Internacional RS - Fluminense 0:2 ✺
    29.05.2025 Fluminense - Once Caldas 2:0 ✺
    24.05.2025 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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