Mamer vs Pétange – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BGL Ligue - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Noode S. 🟨,
  • 33', Schmit B. 🟨,
  • 35', Isaac A. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Jager M. , Zilli Q. (A),
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Ali D. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Arab S. ,
  • 62', Rapaille L. , da Costa Batista D. ,
  • 75', Baillet B. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 84', Montout L. , Maurice J. ,

Chances of winning


Mamer
30.1%
Draw
38.5%
Pétange
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 26.2% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 25.3% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pétange might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pétange could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mamer - Pétange Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.31)
    2.74
    (3.5)
    3.35
    (1.99)
    -5.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mamer - Pétange?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mamer (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Mamer (1.73) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Pétange (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Mamer (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Pétange (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Mamer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pétange is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Pétange may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pétange is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mamer
    14.09.2025 Mamer - Swift Hesperange 1:2
    03.09.2025 Mamer - Differdange 03 1:4
    24.08.2025 Mamer - F91 Dudelange 1:2
    17.08.2025 Jeunesse Esch - Mamer 0:1
    03.08.2025 Jeunesse Canach - Mamer 2:3
    Latest results of Pétange
    13.09.2025 Käerjéng 97 - Pétange 3:0
    24.08.2025 UNA Strassen - Pétange 3:0
    16.08.2025 Pétange - Hostert 0:2
    Luxembourg National Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Differdange19135144:133144
    2UNA Strassen19123443:192439
    3Bissen19123442:182439
    4Mondorf19130634:151939
    5Dudelange19114442:271537
    6Jeunesse Esch1976623:20327
    7Niedercorn1974828:27125
    8Jeunesse Canach1973925:27-224
    9Hostert1966719:29-1024
    10Hesperange1964921:29-822
    11Racing Luxembourg1955924:32-820
    12Victoria Rosport1955918:29-1120
    13Kaerjeng19541028:34-619
    14FC Mamer19511321:44-2316
    15Rodange19361015:43-2815
    16Union Titus Petange19351116:37-2114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          BGL Ligue (Relegation)
          Relegation