Manaus vs Águia de Marabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Manaus - Águia de Marabá
Result
3:3
13/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
78
Corner Kicks
76
Red Cards
10
Total shots
129
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Mauricio Pinto ,
  • 8', 2 - 0, Thiago Spice ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Kaique ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 2 - 2, Kaique ,
  • 65', Brenno 🟥,
  • 69', 2 - 3, Thalyson ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Lila G. ,

Chances of winning


Manaus
57.2%
Draw
26.3%
Águia de Marabá
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.5% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 26.9% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.
  • Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia de Marabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águia de Marabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manaus - Águia de Marabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.82)
    3.47
    (3.3)
    5.55
    (3.99)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Manaus is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manaus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Manaus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manaus - Águia de Marabá were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Águia de Marabá - Manaus 1:1
    06.02.2025 Manaus - Águia de Marabá 3:2
    Latest results of Manaus
    Latest results of Águia de Marabá
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2