Manaus vs Águia de Marabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena da Amazonia (Manaus).

Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats


Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
7	8
Corner Kicks
7	6
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
7	8
Shots off target
5	1
Corner Kicks
7	6
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Mauricio Pinto ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Thiago Spice ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Kaique ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 2, Kaique ⚽,
65', Brenno 🟥,
69', 2 - 3, Thalyson ⚽,
84', 3 - 3, Lila G. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Manaus
57.2%

Draw
26.3%

Águia de Marabá
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.

Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia de Marabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águia de Marabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manaus - Águia de Marabá Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.82)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	5.55 ↑ (3.99)	9.5% (10.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Manaus - Águia de Marabá?

Users Predictions: Manaus will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manaus will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Manaus is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manaus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Manaus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Manaus won against Águia de Marabá?

Manaus has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Águia de Marabá won against Manaus?

Águia de Marabá has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manaus - Águia de Marabá were as follows:

03.05.2025 Águia de Marabá - Manaus 1:1

06.02.2025 Manaus - Águia de Marabá 3:2

Latest results of Manaus

06.07.2025 Manaus - Tuna Luso Brasileira 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio 1:2 ✺

07.06.2025 Independência - Manaus 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Manaus - Independência 1:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manaus 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Águia de Marabá

05.07.2025 Águia de Marabá - Manauara 0:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá 2:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Trem - Águia de Marabá 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Águia de Marabá - Humaitá 6:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Humaitá - Águia de Marabá 1:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Manauara	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
3	Manaus	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Sao Raimundo RR	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
5	GAS	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
6	Monte Roraima	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Porto Velho	2	2	0	0	9:1	8	6
2	Araguaina	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Guapore	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Independencia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
5	Humaita	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
6	Galvez	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Luverdense	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Aparecidense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
4	Brasiliense	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	Primavera AC	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
6	Inhumas	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Capital	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
2	Goiatuba	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Mixto	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
4	Operario VG	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
5	Uniao Rondonopolis	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Ceilandia	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Imperatriz	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
2	Trem	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
3	Aguia De Maraba	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
4	Tuna Luso	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
5	Tocantinopolis	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Oratorio	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maracana	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
2	IAPE	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
3	Sampaio Correa	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
4	Parnahyba	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
5	Iguatu	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
6	Moto Club	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
2	Ferroviario	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
3	Piaui	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
4	Atletico-CE	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	AE Altos	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
6	Tirol	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America RN	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Maguary	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3
3	ABC	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
4	Sousa	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	Central SC	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
6	Laguna RN	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lagarto	2	1	1	0	6:5	1	4
2	Sergipe	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Treze PB	2	1	0	1	7:5	2	3
4	Serra Branca	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
5	Decisao	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Retro	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CSA	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Juazeirense	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	ASA	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Jacuipense	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
5	CSE	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
6	Alagoinhas	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ivinhema	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	Betim	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Uberlandia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
4	Operario MS	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
5	CRAC	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
6	Ouvidorense	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Democrata GV	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Vitoria ES	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Porto-BA	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
5	Rio Branco ES	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
6	Real Noroeste	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
2	Portuguesa	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
3	Agua Santa	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
4	Madureira	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
5	Pouso Alegre	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
6	America RJ	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Marica	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	Piracicaba	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
3	Velo Clube	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Sampaio Correa FE	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	Noroeste	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Nova Iguacu	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
2	Cascavel	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
3	Cianorte	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Santa Catarina	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
5	Guarany de Bage	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
6	Sao Luiz	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Sao Joseense	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
3	Brasil de Pelotas	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
4	Marcilio Dias	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
5	Azuriz	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
6	EC Sao Jose	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)