Manawatu vs Hawkes Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Manawatu - Hawkes Bay
Result
10:38
04/10/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 21)
  • 2nd Half (10 - 17)

Chances of winning


Manawatu
17.1%
Draw
3.3%
Hawkes Bay
79.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 3.6% 77.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Manawatu - Hawkes Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (4.8)
    26.98
    (25)
    1.16
    (1.16)
    9.1%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 0.
    • Manawatu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hawkes Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hawkes Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hawkes Bay is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 274:446. (average 21.1:34.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 189:216. (average 23.6:27).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manawatu - Hawkes Bay were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Manawatu - Hawkes Bay 26:38
    15.09.2023 Hawkes Bay - Manawatu 57:7
    Latest results of Manawatu
    27.09.2025 Counties Manukau - Manawatu 48:24
    21.09.2025 Manawatu - Bay of Plenty 19:55
    13.09.2025 Auckland - Manawatu 52:29
    05.09.2025 Manawatu - Waikato 36:26
    29.08.2025 Canterbury - Manawatu 53:14
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    25.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Auckland 45:28
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)26 : 12
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7