Manawatu vs Otago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Manawatu - Otago
Result
10:28
21/09/2024 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
13
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
13
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 13)
  • 3', Coltman L. (Try),
  • 4', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', MacDonald R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 27', Miller C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40+1', Miller C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (7 - 15)
  • 56', Miller C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 64', Bell H. (Try),
  • 64', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Campbell L. (Try),
  • 74', Cameron B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Creighton H. (Try),
  • 80', Miller C. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


Manawatu
31.7%
Draw
3.3%
Otago
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 3.2% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 3.5% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manawatu's form might have worsened.
  • Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otago's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manawatu than the current prediction. (+33.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manawatu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago than the current prediction. (-36.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otago, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manawatu - Otago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (1.31)
    27.63
    (29.55)
    1.42
    (3.6)
    8.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Manawatu - Otago?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Otago will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Manawatu won 1.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • In this match Manawatu is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Manawatu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 298-424.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Manawatu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 169-270.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manawatu - Otago were as follows:
    24.09.2022 Manawatu - Otago 35:54
    Latest results of Manawatu
    18.09.2024 Manawatu - Southland 26:21
    14.09.2024 North Harbour - Manawatu 58:19
    06.09.2024 Bay of Plenty - Manawatu 68:14
    01.09.2024 Manawatu - Hawkes Bay 26:38
    24.08.2024 Wellington - Manawatu 39:31
    Latest results of Otago
    14.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Otago 45:17
    11.09.2024 Otago - Wellington 28:32
    07.09.2024 Otago - Canterbury 16:34
    30.08.2024 Taranaki - Otago 22:18
    24.08.2024 Otago - Bay of Plenty 31:26
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Taranaki110023:34
    2Canterbury110033:154
    3Manawatu110038:254
    4Otago110024:154
    5Waikato110036:354
    6Auckland100135:361
    7Bay of Plenty00000:00
    8Counties Manukau00000:00
    9Hawke's Bay00000:00
    10Tasman00000:00
    11Southland100115:240
    12North Harbour100125:380
    13Wellington100115:330
    14Northland10013:230

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