Huétor Vega vs Mancha Real – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 14

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Maldonado P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 79', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Huétor Vega
39.8%
Draw
30.5%
Mancha Real
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 28% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 26.8% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Huétor Vega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huétor Vega's form might have worsened.
  • Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mancha Real's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huétor Vega, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mancha Real, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Huétor Vega - Mancha Real Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.79)
    3
    (3.22)
    3.07
    (4.22)
    9.5%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Huétor Vega has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mancha Real's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Huétor Vega may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Mancha Real has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Huétor Vega is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huétor Vega won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Huétor Vega won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Huétor Vega - Mancha Real were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Mancha Real - Huétor Vega 1:2
    06.10.2024 Huétor Vega - Mancha Real 1:0
    10.03.2024 Huétor Vega - Mancha Real 3:1
    29.10.2023 Mancha Real - Huétor Vega 0:2
    Latest results of Huétor Vega
    Latest results of Mancha Real
    16.11.2025 Mancha Real - Martos 1:1
    02.11.2025 Mancha Real - Marbellí 0:1
    26.10.2025 Mancha Real - Motril 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril27159346:222454
    2Mijas Las Lagunas27156631:171451
    3Arenas Armilla26147532:171549
    4Torre del Mar26129532:211145
    5Churriana de la Vega27127824:28-443
    6Marbelli26117829:22740
    7Torredonjimeno271010732:31140
    8Huetor Vega271071032:32037
    9Atletico de Porcuna261131231:26536
    10Granada CF B27811834:33135
    11UD San Pedro26871126:31-531
    12Melilla B26791019:22-330
    13CD Alhaurino27791130:36-630
    14Martos27791128:34-630
    15Huetor Tajar27781232:36-429
    16Mancha26761321:30-927
    17El Palo27581423:43-2023
    18CD Torreperogil26461615:36-2118

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