Manchester City vs Al-Hilal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Manchester City - Al-Hilal
Result
3:4 ET
30/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.213.16
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
3017
Shots on target
146
Big Chances
67
Corner Kicks
194
Passes
92% (763/827)84% (314/374)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
4.213.16
xG on target (xGOT)
3.853.64
Total shots
3017
Shots on target
146
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
87
Shots inside the Box
2017
Shots outside the Box
100
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
67
Corner Kicks
194
Touches in opposition box
7229
Accurate through passes
60
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
717
Passes
92% (763/827)84% (314/374)
Long passes
77% (17/22)72% (44/61)
Passes in final third
88% (390/441)68% (46/68)
Crosses
23% (11/48)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
3.561.22
Throw-ins
1510
Fouls
177
Tackles
63% (12/19)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4556
Clearances
2244
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
211
xGOT faced
3.643.85
Goals prevented
-0.360.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Silva B. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
  • 27', Gvardiol J. 🟨,
  • 39', Nunes M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Malcom ⚽, Cancelo J. (A),
  • 53', Gundogan I. ↓, Rodri ↑,
  • 53', Gvardiol J. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
  • 53', Nunes M. ↓, Akanji M. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽,
  • 64', Malcom ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
  • 83', Kanno M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
  • 88', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
  • 88', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Bulayhi A. ↑,
  • Extra Time (1 - 2)
  • 91', Haaland E. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
  • 91', Reijnders T. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 94', 2 - 3, Koulibaly K. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
  • 100', Rodri ↓, Foden P. ↑,
  • 104', 3 - 3, Foden P. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
  • 105+1', Akanji M. 🟨,
  • 106', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Al Juwayr M. ↑,
  • 112', 3 - 4, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
  • 113', Marcos Leonardo 🟨,
  • 116', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
76.2%		Draw
14.7%		Al-Hilal
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.5% 14.7% 8.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
    •

    Manchester City - Al-Hilal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.26 ↑
    (1.22)    		 6.41 ↑
    (6.34)    		 10.37 ↓
    (10.6)    		 4.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Al-Hilal?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 45 - 91.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 84.1% – 99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • AH -1 - Man City (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - Man City (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Man City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Hilal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Man City is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Echeverri C. (Ankle Injury) Grealish J. (Coach's decision) Kovacic M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lewis R. (Red Card) Phillips K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Susoho M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Al-Hilal: Al Dawsari S. (Hamstring Injury) Mitrovic A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Man City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Man City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Manchester City
    26.06.2025 Juventus - Manchester City 2:5 ✺
    22.06.2025 Manchester City - Al Ain 6:0 ✺
    18.06.2025 Manchester City - Wydad Casablanca 2:0 ✺
    25.05.2025 Fulham - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    20.05.2025 Manchester City - Bournemouth 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    26.06.2025 Al-Hilal - Pachuca 2:0 ✺
    22.06.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Al-Hilal 0:0 ✺
    18.06.2025 Real Madrid - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    26.05.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya 2:0 ✺
    21.05.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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