Result
19/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Manchester City
51.3% | Draw
25.7% | Arsenal
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City's performance.Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+4%)
Manchester City - Arsenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.11) |
3.73 ↑
(3.7) |
4.17 ↑
(3.36) |
4.2%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manchester City - Arsenal?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Arsenal will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 56.3% – 96.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 1.
- Man City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Man City is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man City won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Arsenal?
Manchester City has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Manchester City?
Arsenal has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Arsenal were as follows:
22.03.2026
Arsenal
-
Manchester City
0:2
21.09.2025
Arsenal
-
Manchester City
1:1
02.02.2025
Arsenal
-
Manchester City
5:1
22.09.2024
Manchester City
-
Arsenal
2:2
31.03.2024
Manchester City
-
Arsenal
0:0
Latest results of Manchester City
Latest results of Arsenal
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 62:24 | 38 | 70 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 63:28 | 35 | 64 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:43 | 13 | 55 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52:42 | 10 | 52 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Brentford | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Everton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 | Brighton | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 48:49 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 45:47 | -2 | 42 |
| 15 | Leeds | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32:44 | -12 | 33 |
| 17 | West Ham | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 40:57 | -17 | 32 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Burnley | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33:63 | -30 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
