Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup Nottingham Forest - Manchester City
Result
0:2
27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.37
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (245/303)90% (568/634)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.40
Total shots
814
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1536
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (245/303)90% (568/634)
Long passes
34% (17/50)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
61% (45/74)81% (132/163)
Crosses
31% (5/16)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.10
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
108
Tackles
52% (12/23)14% (1/7)
Duels won
4333
Clearances
3122
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.400.44
Goals prevented
0.400.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lewis R. , Kovacic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Danilo , Elanga A. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Gvardiol J. , Marmoush O. (A),
  • 55', Grealish J. 🟨,
  • 65', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 71', Wood Ch. , Awoniyi T. ,
  • 71', Anderson E. , Sangare I. ,
  • 71', Grealish J. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 78', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
  • 81', Savinho , Foden P. ,
  • 81', Marmoush O. , Doku J. ,
  • 82', Dominguez N. , Jota Silva ,
  • 83', Abbott Z. , Sosa R. ,
  • 87', Ortega S. 🟨,
  • 89', Kovacic M. , Nico ,
  • 90+3', Sosa R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
19.5%
Draw
24.6%
Manchester City
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 24.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 24.5% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Nottingham Forest - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (4.61)
    3.89
    (3.87)
    1.72
    (1.76)
    4.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Man City will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Man City (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1.
    • Recent matches Nottingham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Man City in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Man City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Ederson (Groin Injury) Haaland E. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:14 (average 0.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Manchester City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0
    04.12.2024 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    28.04.2024 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2
    23.09.2023 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 2:0
    18.02.2023 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    2Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    3MacclesfieldBye
    4Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    5Curzon AshtonBye
    6Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    7WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    8ByeChester
    9WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    10ByeChorley
    11SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    12ByeDarlington
    13RadcliffeBye
    14ByeSouthport
    15West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    16ByeSpennymoor
    17HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    18LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    19South ShieldsBye
    20Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    21KendalDunston0 : 1
    22Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    23Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    24West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    25AFC FyldeBye
    26WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    27AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    28TraffordStockton2 : 1
    29Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    30ByeMarine
    31MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    32WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    33HallamAshton Utd0 : 2, 2 : 2
    34ByeScarborough
    35KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    36EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    37WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    38MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    39AFC TelfordBye
    40ByeKidderminster
    41AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    42ByeLeamington
    43BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    44StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    45CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    46RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    47Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    48ByeHereford
    49ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    50HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    51BuxtonBye
    52RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    53IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    54ByeAlfreton
    55QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    56Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    57MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    58Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    59HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    60ByeWorksop
    61Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    62HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    63Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    64Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    65RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    66BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    67BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    68NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    69Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    70Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    71CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    72KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    73HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    74WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    75BedfordBye
    76ByeDag & Red
    77Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    78ByeEnfield Town
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81ChelmsfordBye
    82Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    83SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    84AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    85Hemel HempsteadBye
    86Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    87Peterborough SportsBye
    88ByeHornchurch
    89Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    90EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    91HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    92March TownGorleston1 : 3
    93Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    94StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    95BillericayBarton4 : 1
    96BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    97Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    98ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    99UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    100ByeSlough
    101FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    102ByeMaidstone
    103FarnboroughBye
    104ByeDover
    105DorkingBye
    106CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    107Eastbourne BoroBye
    108EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    109WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    110Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    111Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    112ByeWorthing
    113Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    114Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    115ChertseyThame2 : 1
    116RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    117WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    118ByeHorsham FC
    119BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    120TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    121Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk2 : 3, 1 : 1
    122Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    123MaidenheadBye
    124FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    125EbbsfleetBye
    126Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    127Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    128FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    129DealCobham2 : 0
    130BeckenhamEgham2 : 3
    131Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    132Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    133Hampton & RichmondBye
    134SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    135Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    136ByeTonbridge
    137WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    138FairfordSholing0 : 2
    139TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    140ByeWeston-super-Mare
    141Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    142ByeBath
    143Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    144SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    145GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    146ByeChippenham
    147SalisburyBye
    148Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    149GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    150DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    151AFC TottonBye
    152ByeTorquay
    153HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    154TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    155Merthyr TownBye
    156Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    157Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    158ByeOxford City
    159Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town2 : 0, 1 : 1
    160Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1FC UnitedChadderton0 : 1
    2MacclesfieldAtherton R.3 : 0
    3Curzon AshtonHebburn Town4 : 1
    4StalybridgeChester1 : 2
    5CongletonChorley0 : 1
    6BootleDarlington1 : 3
    7RadcliffeSouthport1 : 1
    8West AucklandSpennymoor0 : 1
    9HydeWhitby2 : 0
    10South ShieldsGuiseley2 : 1
    11DunstonStocksbridge1 : 0
    12Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets0 : 2
    13AFC FyldeBamber Bridge4 : 1
    14NantwichTrafford3 : 1
    15Newcastle Blue StarMarine0 : 2
    16MorpethWitton2 : 1
    17Ashton UtdScarborough2 : 0
    18Racing Club WarwickEvesham3 : 3
    19ChasetownBanbury0 : 0
    20AFC TelfordKidderminster3 : 1
    21AlvechurchLeamington3 : 0
    22ShepshedStamford0 : 2
    23GainsboroughRushall2 : 1
    24Sporting KhalsaHereford1 : 2
    25ColeshillHednesford0 : 7
    26BuxtonRedditch3 : 0
    27Spalding UnitedAlfreton3 : 0
    28QuornKettering2 : 1
    29MatlockCarlton Town3 : 0
    30HarboroughWorksop3 : 2
    31Grimsby BoroughHalesowen1 : 1
    32Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge3 : 1
    33RoystonBrentwood1 : 0
    34Bury TownWoodford Town1 : 1
    35HitchinSt. Albans1 : 2
    36LeistonHackney Wick4 : 1
    37Mulbarton WanderersWitham0 : 0
    38BedfordDag & Red1 : 1
    39Enfield FCEnfield Town0 : 3
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn1 : 4
    41ChelmsfordHertford6 : 0
    42SudburyAveley1 : 2
    43Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford4 : 1
    44Peterborough SportsHornchurch2 : 1
    45Needham MarketEynesbury4 : 2
    46Waltham AbbeyGorleston2 : 0
    47Maldon & TiptreeStanway2 : 0
    48BillericayBerkhamsted3 : 0
    49Ashford U.Chatham0 : 3
    50WellingSlough1 : 1
    51FolkestoneMaidstone2 : 0
    52FarnboroughDover4 : 1
    53DorkingWingate & Finchley7 : 2
    54Eastbourne BoroEpsom4 : 0
    55Burgess HillFarnham1 : 3
    56Jersey BullsWorthing2 : 2
    57Hanwell TownBedfont Sports0 : 1
    58ChertseyCray Valley2 : 3
    59WestfieldHorsham FC2 : 2
    60BracknellTadley2 : 0
    61WhitehawkWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    62MaidenheadFaversham0 : 1
    63EbbsfleetAshford Town5 : 0
    64Tower HamletsFlackwell0 : 2
    65DealEgham2 : 1
    66Whitstable TownChichester1 : 1
    67Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.4 : 2
    68Steyning TownTonbridge2 : 2
    69FarehamSholing0 : 3
    70TauntonWeston-super-Mare1 : 1
    71WimborneBath2 : 1
    72BrixhamDorchester1 : 3
    73GloucesterChippenham1 : 2
    74SalisburyLaverstock & Ford4 : 1
    75GosportPoole0 : 3
    76AFC TottonTorquay2 : 0
    77HungerfordSwindon S3 : 0
    78Merthyr TownTorpoint4 : 0
    79Westbury UnitedOxford City3 : 2
    80Shaftesbury TownFrome1 : 1