Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: England D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, SuperSport 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoFOX One
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.020.97
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
74
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
61
Passes
92% (713/773)82% (266/326)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
2.020.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.931.16
Total shots
219
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
166
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4414
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
13
Free kicks
610
Passes
92% (713/773)82% (266/326)
Long passes
67% (24/36)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
88% (240/272)65% (35/54)
Crosses
17% (4/24)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.36
Throw ins
176
Fouls
106
Tackles
60% (6/10)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
628
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.161.93
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Semenyo A. , Cherki R. (A),
  • 45+1', Sangare I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. , Igor Jesus (A),
  • 60', Murillo 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Rodri , Ait-Nouri R. (A),
  • 63', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
  • 63', Dominguez N. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Anderson E. , Hudson-Odoi C. (A),
  • 77', Ait-Nouri R. , Khusanov A. ,
  • 77', Foden P. , Doku J. ,
  • 79', Igor Jesus , Awoniyi T. ,
  • 82', Cherki R. , Savinho ,
  • 90', Williams N. , Morato ,
  • 90', Gibbs-White M. , Yates R. ,
  • 90+4', Sels M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
68.4%
Draw
19.2%
Nottingham Forest
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 19.3% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 18.3% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • The chances for Nottingham Forest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Manchester City - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.38)
    4.99
    (4.88)
    7.71
    (7.59)
    4.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 78 - 88.6%). Nottingham will win (votes: 5 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 5.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 82%95.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Nottingham (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Man City (1.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -2 - Nottingham (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Nottingham (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Man City (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Man City (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Man City (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Man City (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Man City (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Man City (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Man City (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Man City (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Man City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 40 - 90.9%). Nottingham (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.
    • Man City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Ortega S. (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Alleyne M. (Knock) Haaland E. (Injury) O'Reilly N. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Man City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:3. (average 2.3:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 3.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:2
    27.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2
    08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0
    04.12.2024 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    28.04.2024 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship