Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: England D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, SuperSport 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoFOX One
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.020.97
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
74
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
61
Passes
92% (713/773)82% (266/326)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
2.020.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.931.16
Total shots
219
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
166
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4414
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
13
Free kicks
610
Passes
92% (713/773)82% (266/326)
Long passes
67% (24/36)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
88% (240/272)65% (35/54)
Crosses
17% (4/24)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.36
Throw ins
176
Fouls
106
Tackles
60% (6/10)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
628
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.161.93
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Semenyo A. , Cherki R. (A),
  • 45+1', Sangare I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. , Igor Jesus (A),
  • 60', Murillo 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Rodri , Ait-Nouri R. (A),
  • 63', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
  • 63', Dominguez N. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Anderson E. , Hudson-Odoi C. (A),
  • 77', Ait-Nouri R. , Khusanov A. ,
  • 77', Foden P. , Doku J. ,
  • 79', Igor Jesus , Awoniyi T. ,
  • 82', Cherki R. , Savinho ,
  • 90', Williams N. , Morato ,
  • 90', Gibbs-White M. , Yates R. ,
  • 90+4', Sels M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
68.4%
Draw
19.2%
Nottingham Forest
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 19.3% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 18.3% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • The chances for Nottingham Forest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Manchester City - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.38)
    4.99
    (4.88)
    7.71
    (7.59)
    4.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 78 - 88.6%). Nottingham will win (votes: 5 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 5.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 82%95.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Nottingham (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Man City (1.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -2 - Nottingham (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Nottingham (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Man City (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Man City (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Man City (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Man City (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Man City (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Man City (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Man City (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Man City (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Man City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 40 - 90.9%). Nottingham (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.
    • Man City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Ortega S. (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Alleyne M. (Knock) Haaland E. (Injury) O'Reilly N. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Man City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:3. (average 2.3:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 3.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:2
    27.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2
    08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0
    04.12.2024 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    28.04.2024 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 35237567:264176
    2Manchester City ✔ 33217566:293770
    3Manchester Utd341710760:461461
    4Liverpool341771057:441358
    5Aston Villa341771047:42558
    6Brentford351491252:46651
    7Brighton3513111149:42750
    8Bournemouth341116752:52049
    9Chelsea341391253:45848
    10Fulham351461544:49-548
    11Everton341381341:41047
    12Sunderland3512111237:46-947
    13Newcastle351361649:51-245
    14Crystal Palace3311101236:39-343
    15Leeds3510131247:52-543
    16Nottingham341091541:45-439
    17West Ham35991742:61-1936
    18Tottenham348101643:53-1034
    19Burnley ✔ 35482335:71-3620
    20Wolves ✔ 35392325:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Burnley is Relegated to Championship
    Wolves is Relegated to Championship