Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Smith N. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomMUTV App, MUTV

Match Stats

Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
183
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Total shots
166
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
112
Corner kicks
183

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Oguntolu J. , Gordon I. (A),
  • 29', McCormack R. 🟨,
  • 29', Tola M. 🟨,
  • 34', Kamason J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wade S. , Davidson J. ,
  • 62', Tola M. 🟨,
  • 65', Canoville R. , Mintus M. ,
  • 65', Allen C. , Banks L. ,
  • 65', Smith C. , Offor R. ,
  • 68', Bailey J. , McAllister F. ,
  • 79', Ogunneye H. , Bradbury L. ,
  • 85', Leon D. , Kukonki G. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Bradbury L. , Sharpe M. (A),
  • 90+3', Oguntolu J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United U21
72.1%
Draw
14.6%
Derby County U21
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 17% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 16.2% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.38)
    6.27
    (5.48)
    6.88
    (6.1)
    9.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 28).
    • Man Utd U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Man Utd U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Man Utd U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    • Including home match between the teams, Man Utd U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    01.03.2024 Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 2:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    2Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    3Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    4Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3
    5Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    6Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    7Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    8Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chelsea U21Tottenham U211 : 3
    2Brighton U21West Ham U213 : 0
    3Aston Villa U21Manchester City U212 : 3
    4Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U210 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tottenham U21Brighton U21
    2Manchester City U21Manchester Utd U21