Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
08/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumCanvas, Play Sports 1, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
cyprusCyprusRIK 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 2
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, Disney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.09
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Long passes
35% (19/55)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
67% (91/135)69% (75/108)
Crosses
60% (3/5)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1017
Tackles
71% (15/21)57% (8/14)
Duels won
7541
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.092.24
Goals prevented
-0.91-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Jauregizar M. ,
  • 39', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 59', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 61', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 62', Gorosabel A. , de Marcos O. ,
  • 62', Djalo A. , Olabarrieta A. ,
  • 62', Mazraoui N. , Shaw L. ,
  • 62', Ugarte M. , Mount M. ,
  • 62', Garnacho A. , Diallo A. ,
  • 67', Gomez U. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Mount M. , Yoro L. (A),
  • 73', Prados Diaz B. , Vesga M. ,
  • 78', Nunez U. 🟨,
  • 78', Berenguer A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Casemiro , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 81', Lindelof V. , Amass H. ,
  • 81', Casemiro , Mainoo K. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Hojlund R. , Diallo A. (A),
  • 89', Sannadi M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dorgu P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Mount M. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
51%
Draw
26.4%
Athletic Bilbao
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.4% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 26.9% 26.9%

Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(2.08)
3.62
(3.64)
4.22
(3.51)
4.2%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 18.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 30.6%50.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 15 - 38.5%). Athletic (votes: 19 - 48.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Athletic (3.25) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Athletic (3.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - Athletic (6.85) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Athletic (4.38) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Athletic (2.18) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Athletic (1.88) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Athletic (2.92) (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 13 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • DNB - Athletic (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Man Utd (1.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 81 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 17 - 21%). Athletic (votes: 59 - 72.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 6.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Calf Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Vivian D. (Red Card) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3
    06.08.2023 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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