Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao
Result
4:1
08/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.09
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Long passes
35% (19/55)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
67% (91/135)69% (75/108)
Crosses
60% (3/5)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1017
Tackles
71% (15/21)57% (8/14)
Duels won
7541
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.092.24
Goals prevented
-0.91-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Jauregizar M. ,
  • 39', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 59', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 61', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 62', Gorosabel A. , de Marcos O. ,
  • 62', Djalo A. , Olabarrieta A. ,
  • 62', Mazraoui N. , Shaw L. ,
  • 62', Ugarte M. , Mount M. ,
  • 62', Garnacho A. , Diallo A. ,
  • 67', Gomez U. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Mount M. , Yoro L. (A),
  • 73', Prados Diaz B. , Vesga M. ,
  • 78', Nunez U. 🟨,
  • 78', Berenguer A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Casemiro , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 81', Lindelof V. , Amass H. ,
  • 81', Casemiro , Mainoo K. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Hojlund R. , Diallo A. (A),
  • 89', Sannadi M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dorgu P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Mount M. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
51%
Draw
26.4%
Athletic Bilbao
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.4% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 26.9% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.08)
    3.62
    (3.64)
    4.22
    (3.51)
    4.2%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 18.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 30.6%50.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Athletic (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Athletic (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +0.75 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • AH 0 - Athletic (votes: 9 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Calf Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Vivian D. (Red Card) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3
    06.08.2023 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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