Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
08/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumCanvas, Play Sports 1, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
cyprusCyprusRIK 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 2
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, Disney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.09
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Long passes
35% (19/55)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
67% (91/135)69% (75/108)
Crosses
60% (3/5)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1017
Tackles
71% (15/21)57% (8/14)
Duels won
7541
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.092.24
Goals prevented
-0.91-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Jauregizar M. ,
  • 39', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 59', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 61', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 62', Gorosabel A. , de Marcos O. ,
  • 62', Djalo A. , Olabarrieta A. ,
  • 62', Mazraoui N. , Shaw L. ,
  • 62', Ugarte M. , Mount M. ,
  • 62', Garnacho A. , Diallo A. ,
  • 67', Gomez U. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Mount M. , Yoro L. (A),
  • 73', Prados Diaz B. , Vesga M. ,
  • 78', Nunez U. 🟨,
  • 78', Berenguer A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Casemiro , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 81', Lindelof V. , Amass H. ,
  • 81', Casemiro , Mainoo K. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Hojlund R. , Diallo A. (A),
  • 89', Sannadi M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dorgu P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Mount M. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
51%
Draw
26.4%
Athletic Bilbao
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.4% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 26.9% 26.9%

Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(2.08)
3.62
(3.64)
4.22
(3.51)
4.2%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 18.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 30.6%50.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Athletic (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Athletic (3.25) (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Athletic (3.79) (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Athletic (6.85) (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +0.75 - Athletic (4.38) (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Athletic (2.18) (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Athletic (1.88) (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • AH 0 - Athletic (2.92) (votes: 9 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Calf Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Vivian D. (Red Card) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3
    06.08.2023 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon540111:2912
    2Midtjylland540112:5712
    3Aston Villa54018:3512
    4Freiburg53208:3511
    5Betis53208:3511
    6Ferencvaros53209:5411
    7Braga53119:5410
    8FC Porto53117:4310
    9Genk53117:5210
    10Celta Vigo530211:749
    11Lille530210:649
    12Stuttgart53028:449
    13Plzen52306:249
    14Panathinaikos53029:729
    15AS Roma53027:529
    16Nottingham52219:548
    17PAOK522110:738
    18Bologna52217:438
    19Brann52216:338
    20Fenerbahce52215:508
    21Celtic52127:8-17
    22Crvena zvezda52124:5-17
    23Din. Zagreb52127:10-37
    24Basel52037:706
    25Ludogorets52038:11-36
    26Young Boys52037:12-56
    27G.A. Eagles52034:9-56
    28Sturm Graz51134:7-34
    29Salzburg51045:10-53
    30Feyenoord51044:9-53
    31FCSB51043:8-53
    32Utrecht50142:7-51
    33Rangers50142:9-71
    34Malmo FF50142:10-81
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv50141:14-131
    36Nice50054:12-80

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)