Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao
Result
4:1
08/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.09
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
78% (356/456)81% (328/405)
Long passes
35% (19/55)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
67% (91/135)69% (75/108)
Crosses
60% (3/5)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1017
Tackles
71% (15/21)57% (8/14)
Duels won
7541
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.092.24
Goals prevented
-0.91-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Jauregizar M. ,
  • 39', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 59', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 61', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 62', Gorosabel A. , de Marcos O. ,
  • 62', Djalo A. , Olabarrieta A. ,
  • 62', Mazraoui N. , Shaw L. ,
  • 62', Ugarte M. , Mount M. ,
  • 62', Garnacho A. , Diallo A. ,
  • 67', Gomez U. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Mount M. , Yoro L. (A),
  • 73', Prados Diaz B. , Vesga M. ,
  • 78', Nunez U. 🟨,
  • 78', Berenguer A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Casemiro , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 81', Lindelof V. , Amass H. ,
  • 81', Casemiro , Mainoo K. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Hojlund R. , Diallo A. (A),
  • 89', Sannadi M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dorgu P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Mount M. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
51%
Draw
26.4%
Athletic Bilbao
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.4% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 26.9% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.08)
    3.62
    (3.64)
    4.22
    (3.51)
    4.2%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 37 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 18.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 30.6%50.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Athletic (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Athletic (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +0.75 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Athletic (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • AH 0 - Athletic (votes: 9 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Calf Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Vivian D. (Red Card) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3
    06.08.2023 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0