Newcastle United vs Manchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenAmazon Prime Video, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.221.28
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
55
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
24
Passes
77% (288/375)82% (377/460)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.221.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.80
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1615
Passes
77% (288/375)82% (377/460)
Long passes
43% (31/72)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
67% (72/108)74% (108/146)
Crosses
40% (6/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.64
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
1516
Tackles
76% (13/17)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.802.24
Goals prevented
-0.200.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', Ramsey J. 🟨,
  • 37', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
  • 38', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 39', Shaw L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ramsey J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 1 - 0, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+9', 1 - 1, Casemiro , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Barnes H. , Willock J. ,
  • 61', Shaw L. , Ugarte M. ,
  • 61', Casemiro , Dalot D. ,
  • 64', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
  • 76', Mainoo K. , Diallo A. ,
  • 77', Mbeumo B. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 80', Trippier K. 🟨,
  • 84', Elanga A. , Murphy J. ,
  • 85', Gordon A. , Osula W. ,
  • 85', Mazraoui N. , Malacia T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Osula W. , Trippier K. (A),
  • 90+7', Tonali S. , Botman S. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
36.5%
Draw
25.9%
Manchester United
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 25% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 27.1% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle United - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.32)
    3.7
    (3.78)
    2.55
    (2.77)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 21 - 38.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 25.4%51%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 6 - 40%). Man Utd (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Man Utd (1.92) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Man Utd (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DNB - Man Utd (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Man Utd (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
    • Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Man Utd is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Miley L. (Knee Injury) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Mount M. (Knock) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury) Woltemade N. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Aljofree S. (Injury) Martinez Li. (Calf Injury) Shaw L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Manchester United were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0
    13.04.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester United 4:1
    30.12.2024 Manchester United - Newcastle United 0:2
    15.05.2024 Manchester United - Newcastle United 3:2
    02.12.2023 Newcastle United - Manchester United 1:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of Manchester United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd321510757:451255
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds328121239:49-1036
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship