Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Manfredonia
25.1% | Draw
29.1% | Paganese
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Manfredonia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Manfredonia - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.61) |
3.12 ↑
(3.03) |
1.98 ↓
(2.02) |
10.3%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
- Manfredonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paganese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paganese could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Manfredonia won against Paganese?
Manfredonia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Manfredonia?
Paganese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manfredonia - Paganese were as follows:
02.11.2025
Paganese
-
Manfredonia
1:0
04.02.2024
Manfredonia
-
Paganese
2:0
Latest results of Manfredonia
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 59 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Paganese | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Gravina | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:38 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Sarnese | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | SS Nola 1925 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Francavilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 26 |
| 17 | Pompei | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18:66 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
