Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Manfredonia
25.1% | Draw
29.1% | Paganese
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Manfredonia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Manfredonia - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.61) |
3.12 ↑
(3.03) |
1.98 ↓
(2.02) |
10.3%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
- Manfredonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paganese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paganese could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Manfredonia won against Paganese?
Manfredonia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Manfredonia?
Paganese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manfredonia - Paganese were as follows:
02.11.2025
Paganese
-
Manfredonia
1:0
04.02.2024
Manfredonia
-
Paganese
2:0
Latest results of Manfredonia
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 43:16 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Paganese | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Gravina | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | SS Nola 1925 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Heraclea | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:28 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Sarnese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Francavilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 18:33 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Pompei | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 14:31 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
