Sarnese vs Manfredonia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 0, ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sarnese
54%
Draw
25.7%
Manfredonia
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.4% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26.2% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Sarnese - Manfredonia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.83)
    3.54
    (3.45)
    4.49
    (3.85)
    9.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 10).
    • Sarnese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Manfredonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sarnese is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarnese - Manfredonia were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Manfredonia - Sarnese 4:2
    Latest results of Sarnese
    18.01.2026 Barletta - Sarnese 3:2
    11.01.2026 Sarnese - Afragolese 1:2
    04.01.2026 Pompei - Sarnese 0:0
    14.12.2025 Francavilla - Sarnese 0:4
    Latest results of Manfredonia
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation