Result
1:1
09/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Challenge League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cambodia | Bayon TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (351/415) | 80% (253/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (351/415) | 80% (253/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (37/58) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/105) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Tiago Alves ⚽,
- 4', Gai P. O. 🟨,
- 10', Fujii R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Njie O. 🟨,
- 48', Patrick 🟨,
- 62', Tafem D. ↓, Ceesay S. ↑,
- 67', Tiago Alves ↓, Min R. ↑,
- 82', Silveira C. ↓, Nhean S. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Gai P. O. ⚽, Manneh M. (A),
- 86', Nishioka K. ↓, Watanabe Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Ceesay S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Svay Rieng
61% | Draw
21.1% | Manila Digger
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Svay Rieng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Svay Rieng's form might have worsened.Manila Digger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manila Digger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (+14.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Svay Rieng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manila Digger than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manila Digger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Svay Rieng - Manila Digger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.3) |
4.34 ↓
(5.2) |
5.13 ↓
(8.8) |
9.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Svay Rieng - Manila Digger?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Svay Rieng will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Svay Rieng (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Svay Rieng (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svay Rieng (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Svay Rieng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Svay Rieng is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Svay Rieng will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svay Rieng won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Svay Rieng won against Manila Digger?
Svay Rieng has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manila Digger won against Svay Rieng?
Manila Digger has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Svay Rieng - Manila Digger were as follows:
01.11.2025
Manila Digger
-
Svay Rieng
2:2
Latest results of Svay Rieng
Latest results of Manila Digger
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Al Ansar (B2) | Muras United (C1) | |
| 2 | Al-Shabab (A1) | Al Kuwait (B1) | |
| 3 | Svay Rieng (D1) | Phnom Penh Crown (E2) | 2 : 1, 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Dewa United (E1) | Manila Digger (D2) | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
