Erzurumspor vs Manisa FK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Erzurumspor - Manisa FK
Result
1:0
28/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 31
  • Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.37
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
77% (274/357)66% (186/282)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.06
Total shots
165
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2915
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
77% (274/357)66% (186/282)
Long passes
51% (36/71)30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
57% (78/136)51% (37/72)
Crosses
31% (5/16)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.680.39
Fouls
1511
Tackles
53% (8/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4751
Clearances Total
620
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.061.44
Goals prevented
0.060.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Gocmen B. 🟨,
  • 39', Ovacikli O. 🟨,
  • 42', Cissokho M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Gurbulak O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Minchev G. , Yurdakul K. ,
  • 62', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
  • 66', Tas M. , Ozhan F. ,
  • 82', Diallo D. , Osuji B. ,
  • 83', Talum Y. , Gurdal O. ,
  • 83', Gurbulak O. , Akgun E. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Yumlu M. ,
  • 89', Erdem U. , Kiprit M. ,
  • 89', Teklic T. , Kirtay Y. ,
  • 90+3', Crociata G. , Akkan G. ,
  • 90+3', Sylla C. , Kilinc K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzurumspor
54.4%
Draw
26.6%
Manisa FK
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 25.8% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.1% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Erzurumspor aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Erzurumspor - Manisa FK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.76)
    3.48
    (3.61)
    4.91
    (4.4)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Manisa FK?
  • Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1.
    • Recent matches Erzurumspor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Manisa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Erzurumspor is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akgun S. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Manisa FK were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 2:0
    27.01.2024 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 0:2
    25.08.2023 Erzurumspor - Manisa FK 1:2
    16.04.2023 Erzurumspor - Manisa FK 1:3
    19.11.2022 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 0:0
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    16.03.2025 Amed SK - Erzurumspor 0:1
    06.03.2025 Erzurumspor - Pendikspor 2:4
    02.03.2025 Boluspor - Erzurumspor 0:0
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    15.03.2025 Manisa FK - Pendikspor 2:0
    08.03.2025 Erokspor - Manisa FK 1:1
    04.03.2025 Manisa FK - Igdirspor 0:1
    21.02.2025 Manisa FK - Boluspor 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Karagumruk (3)Bye
    3Bandirmaspor (5)Erzurumspor (6)2 : 0
    4Istanbulspor AS (4)Boluspor (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Karagumruk (3)Bye
    2Bandirmaspor (5)Boluspor (7)1 : 0, 4 : 1

    Final
    1Karagumruk (3)Bandirmaspor (5)3 : 1