Result
8:1
07/03/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (459/515) | 85% (359/420) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.60 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (459/515) | 85% (359/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (31/47) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (90/117) | 67% (68/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 3.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -4.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (5 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽,
- 8', 2 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
- 20', 3 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
- 28', 4 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Tozlu E. (A),
- 40', Vargas A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 5 - 0, Akgun S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Adekanye B. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
- 46', Herelle C. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
- 55', Tozlu E. ↓, Keser B. ↑,
- 56', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 56', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 61', Karapo A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
- 61', Diony L. ↓, Can Aslan U. ↑,
- 65', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 70', Benrahou Y. ↓, Sen A. ↑,
- 74', 5 - 1, Lindseth J. ⚽,
- 76', 6 - 1, Sylla C. ⚽, Giorbelidze G. (A),
- 83', 7 - 1, Fernando Andrade ⚽,
- 89', 8 - 1, Kabak A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
66.9% | Draw
21.1% | Manisa FK
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manisa FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manisa FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erzurumspor - Manisa FK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.61) |
4.38 ↑
(3.85) |
7.76 ↑
(4.99) |
8.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Manisa FK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Erzurumspor (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 2.
- Erzurumspor has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Manisa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Erzurumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Erzurumspor is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Kirtay Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
Yumlu M.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Manisa FK?
Erzurumspor has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Erzurumspor?
Manisa FK has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Manisa FK were as follows:
18.10.2025
Manisa FK
-
Erzurumspor
1:1
28.03.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Manisa FK
1:0
10.11.2024
Manisa FK
-
Erzurumspor
2:0
27.01.2024
Manisa FK
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
25.08.2023
Erzurumspor
-
Manisa FK
1:2
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Manisa FK
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
