Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 10
- Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (281/375) | 76% (300/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (281/375) | 76% (300/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 54% (55/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 8% (2/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Toure B. 🟨,
- 39', Yurdakul K. 🟨,
- 40', Talum Y. 🟨,
- 45+3', Karapo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Toure B. ↓, Suleyman B. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Lindseth J. (A),
- 61', Yurdakul K. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Crociata G. (A),
- 70', Baiye B. 🟨,
- 74', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Akgun S. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 81', Benrahou Y. ↓, Adekanye B. ↑,
- 82', Karapo A. ↓, Erdem U. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez M. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 82', Crociata G. ↓, Sever I. ↑,
- 87', Tozlu E. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 87', Keser B. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 90+4', Herelle C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manisa FK
28.4% | Draw
28.3% | Erzurumspor
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Manisa FK - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(3.16) |
3.29 ↑
(3.27) |
2.17 ↓
(2.19) |
7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Manisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Erzurumspor could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Kirtay Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Manisa: Ibik A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Yumlu M.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Erzurumspor?
Manisa FK has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Manisa FK?
Erzurumspor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Erzurumspor were as follows:
28.03.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Manisa FK
1:0
10.11.2024
Manisa FK
-
Erzurumspor
2:0
27.01.2024
Manisa FK
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
25.08.2023
Erzurumspor
-
Manisa FK
1:2
16.04.2023
Erzurumspor
-
Manisa FK
1:3
Latest results of Manisa FK
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
