Manisa FK vs Vanspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 16
  • Referee: Avci I. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.020.69
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
80% (313/391)80% (289/363)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.020.69
xG on target (xGOT)
2.141.74
Total shots
119
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
256
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
80% (313/391)80% (289/363)
Long passes
37% (18/49)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)58% (49/85)
Crosses
17% (3/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.20
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1316
Tackles
71% (10/14)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.742.14
Goals prevented
0.740.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Cissokho M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Xesc , Bars E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', Cissokho M. , Benrahou Y. ,
  • 56', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Kor B. , Kara B. C. ,
  • 72', Jevsenak Z. , Secgin E. ,
  • 72', Xesc , Bingol M. ,
  • 74', Bikoue 🟨,
  • 75', Jefferson 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', Lucas Africo 🟥,
  • 77', Adekanye B. , Kiprit M. ,
  • 84', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
  • 84', Ozcan M. , Vlachomitros A. ,
  • 88', Karapo A. 🟨,
  • 90', Talum Y. , Kahraman O. ,
  • 90', Gureler Y. , Ibik A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
36.6%
Draw
27.1%
Vanspor
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 26.4% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 25.6% 35.9%

Manisa FK - Vanspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.55
(2.39)
3.45
(3.52)
2.55
(2.67)
7.5%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Vanspor?
  • Users Predictions: Vanspor will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vanspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Manisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Manisa: Gocmen B. (Suspended) Inal F. (Suspended) Karabatak S. (Suspended) Yurdakul K. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Vanspor: Coksu M. (Inactive) Dikmen E. (Yellow Cards) Genc F. C. (Suspended) Kesici T. (Inactive) Olmez S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vanspor: Dikmen E. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    28.11.2025 Pendikspor - Manisa FK 2:0
    08.11.2025 Sivasspor - Manisa FK 3:2
    02.11.2025 Manisa FK - Amed SK 0:3
    29.10.2025 Manisa FK - Muğlaspor 0:2
    Latest results of Vanspor
    03.12.2025 Trabzonspor - Vanspor 2:0
    23.11.2025 Vanspor - Keçiörengücü 1:1
    07.11.2025 Sarıyer - Vanspor 2:1
    02.11.2025 Vanspor - Sakaryaspor 3:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pendikspor1695229:111832
    2Amedspor16102437:241332
    3Erokspor1694339:182131
    4Bodrumspor1693436:152130
    5Corum1684425:18728
    6Igdir FK1684427:22528
    7Boluspor1775531:181326
    8Erzurumspor1668228:151326
    9Bandirmaspor1675420:14626
    10Serik Spor1674521:23-225
    11Keciorengucu1656525:19621
    12Vanspor FK1656520:18221
    13Sivasspor1655620:17320
    14Sakaryaspor1654728:34-619
    15Istanbulspor AS1639417:25-818
    16Sariyer1652916:22-617
    17Manisa FK1644823:29-616
    18Umraniyespor1643913:26-1315
    19Hatayspor16051115:42-275
    20Adana Demirspor17021513:73-60-22

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation