Result
2:1
07/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 16
- Referee: Avci I. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/391) | 80% (289/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/391) | 80% (289/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/85) | 58% (49/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Cissokho M. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Xesc ⚽, Bars E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Cissokho M. ↓, Benrahou Y. ↑,
- 56', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Kor B. ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
- 72', Jevsenak Z. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
- 72', Xesc ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
- 74', Bikoue 🟨,
- 75', Jefferson 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 1, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Lucas Africo 🟥,
- 77', Adekanye B. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
- 84', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
- 84', Ozcan M. ↓, Vlachomitros A. ↑,
- 88', Karapo A. 🟨,
- 90', Talum Y. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
- 90', Gureler Y. ↓, Ibik A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manisa FK
36.6% | Draw
27.1% | Vanspor
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Manisa FK - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.39) |
3.45 ↓
(3.52) |
2.55 ↓
(2.67) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Vanspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Vanspor (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Vanspor (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vanspor will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vanspor will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 12 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Manisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Manisa: Gocmen B.
(Suspended)
Inal F.
(Suspended)
Karabatak S.
(Suspended)
Yurdakul K.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Coksu M.
(Inactive)
Dikmen E.
(Yellow Cards)
Genc F. C.
(Suspended)
Kesici T.
(Inactive)
Olmez S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vanspor: Dikmen E.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Vanspor?
Manisa FK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Manisa FK?
Vanspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Vanspor were as follows:
Latest results of Manisa FK
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
