Manitoba Moose vs Calgary Wranglers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
16/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2740
Shooting PCT
7.41% (2/27)5% (2/40)
Goalkeeper Saves
3825
Saves PCT
95% (38/40)92.59% (25/27)
Penalties
41
PIM
82
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 13:37, 1 - 0, Heinola V. (G), Shaw M. (A), Gustafsson D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 13:09, 2 - 0, Gustafsson D. (G),
  • 16:55, 2 - 1, Kerins R. (G), Morton S. (A), Gridin M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 15:41, 2 - 2, Kerins R. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)
  • 1, Stromgren W. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Chibrikov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kirkland J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Zhilkin D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Gridin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Heinola V. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Manitoba Moose
42.6%
Draw
22.7%
Calgary Wranglers
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 22.9% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 23.5% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manitoba Moose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manitoba Moose that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calgary Wranglers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.39)
    4.07
    (3.96)
    2.66
    (2.32)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 3.
    • Recent performances by Manitoba have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Calgary is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Calgary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Manitoba will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:71. (average 2.9:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 3.1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers 5:1
    09.03.2025 Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers 2:3
    08.03.2025 Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers 6:5
    05.01.2025 Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose 2:3
    03.01.2025 Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose 5:4
    Latest results of Manitoba Moose
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )