Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
19/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL NSW - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
57
Corner kicks
17
Red cards
10
Total shots
912
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, ,
  • 56', 🟥,
  • 61', 3 - 0, ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Manly United
24.4%
Draw
24.7%
Rockdale Ilinden
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.9% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 26.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manly United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manly United's form might have worsened.
  • Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rockdale Ilinden's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manly United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rockdale Ilinden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (2.69)
    3.71
    (3.55)
    1.8
    (2.3)
    9.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 0.
    • Manly United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rockdale Ilinden has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rockdale Ilinden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rockdale Ilinden could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manly United won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Rockdale Ilinden - Manly United 0:0
    09.05.2025 Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden 1:1
    16.06.2024 Rockdale Ilinden - Manly United 4:0
    09.03.2024 Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden 1:1
    03.06.2023 Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden 2:2
    Latest results of Manly United
    Australian NPL NSW Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney Utd13111125:91634
    2APIA Leichhardt13102130:151532
    3Marconi Stallions13101229:121731
    4Wollongong Wolves1373316:14224
    5Rockdale Ilinden1371523:20322
    6NWS Spirit1362517:17020
    7Sydney FC U231353521:18318
    8WS Wanderers U211351722:18416
    9Sutherland Sharks1351719:19016
    10St George Saints1351713:19-616
    11SD Raiders1342720:29-914
    12UNSW1334620:21-113
    13Manly Utd1333712:20-812
    14Blacktown City1324718:24-610
    15St. George City1324710:24-1410
    16Sydney Olympic13211015:31-167

          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          NPL NSW (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ NSW League One