North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Result
6:24
17/05/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
germanyGermanySportdigital+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
14
Conversion Goals
13
Conversion Goal Attempts
14
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
5080
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
195176
Metres Run With Ball
15601619

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 6)
  • 10', Saab J. (Try),
  • 12', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Derby R. (Try),
  • 34', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Drinkwater S. (Missed Penalty),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 18)
  • 45', Saab J. (Try),
  • 46', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Garrick R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 71', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Trbojevic B. (Try),
  • 77', Garrick R. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
52.7%
Draw
4.4%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 4.9% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 4.2% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Queensland Cowboys's performance.
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.13)
    20.42
    (19)
    2.15
    (1.79)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 2.
    • North Queensland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Manly-Warringah is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Manly-Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that North Queensland will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:464. (average 19.3:23.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 176:241. (average 17.6:24.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys 42:12
    06.07.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 20:21
    15.07.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys 8:19
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2