Manon Leonard vs Lucrezia Stefanini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Roland Garros Manon Leonard - Lucrezia Stefanini
Result
0:2
19/05/2025 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
61%71%
1st Serve Points Won
50% (32/64)57% (42/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (19/41)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
70% (14/20)78% (18/23)
1st Return Points Won
43% (32/74)50% (32/64)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (19/30)54% (22/41)
Break Points Converted
22% (5/23)30% (6/20)
Winners
3933
Unforced Errors
5638
Net Points Won
63% (24/38)43% (20/46)
Service Points Won
49% (50/103)51% (53/104)
Return Points Won
49% (51/104)51% (53/103)
Total Points Won
49% (101/207)51% (106/207)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Manon Leonard
28.4%
Lucrezia Stefanini
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manon Leonard's form might have worsened.
  • Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucrezia Stefanini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manon Leonard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manon Leonard - Lucrezia Stefanini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.25)

    1.31
    (1.57)
    6.5%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Leonard is ranked WTA: 186. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 148.
    • Leonard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Stefanini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Stefanini is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Manon Leonard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    2Stefanini L. (Q)Teichmann J.0 : 2
    3Collins D.Burrage J.2 : 0
    4Danilovic O.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 0
    5Tauson C. (22)Linette M.2 : 1
    6Rus A.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Kvitova P.Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 1
    9Shnaider D. (11)Sobolieva A. (Q)2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Aiava D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Romero Gormaz L. (Q)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sherif M.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    13Stearns P. (28)Lys E.0 : 2
    14Mboko V. (Q)Sun L.2 : 0
    15Eala A.Arango E.1 : 2
    16Pavlyuchenkova A.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (4)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    18Tomljanovic A.Joint M.2 : 0
    19Korpatsch T. (Q)Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    20Potapova A.Noskova L. (29)2 : 1
    21Vekic D. (18)Blinkova A.2 : 1
    22Garcia C.Pera B.0 : 2
    23Siegemund L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    24Sonmez Z.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (12)Riera J. (Q)2 : 1
    26Jovic I. (WC)Zarazua R.2 : 1
    27Dolehide C.Minnen G.2 : 1
    28Kudermetova P.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    29Kostyuk M. (26)Bejlek S. (Q)0 : 2
    30Cristian J.Birrell K.2 : 0
    31Raducanu E.Wang Xin.2 : 1
    32Sramkova R.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    33Andreeva M. (6)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    34Lamens S.Krueger A.0 : 2
    35Volynets K.Garland J. (Q)1 : 2
    36Sierra S. (Q)Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    37Kasatkina D. (17)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    38Jeanjean L. (WC)Begu I. (RET.)1 : 1
    39Ruse G.Kessler M.2 : 0
    40Osaka N.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    41Muchova K. (14)Parks A.1 : 2
    42Jacquemot E. (WC)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    43Avanesyan E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    44Boisson L. (WC)Mertens E. (24)2 : 1
    45Frech M. (25)Jabeur O.2 : 0
    46Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    47Carle M. L. (Q)Li A.0 : 2
    48Todoni A. A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    49Keys M. (7)Saville D. (Q)2 : 0
    50Monnet C. (Q)Boulter K.1 : 2
    51Wickmayer Y.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    52Gracheva V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    53Haddad Maia B. (23)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    54Hibino N. (Q)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    55Parry D. (WC)Montgomery R.0 : 2
    56Bouzas Maneiro J.Navarro E. (9)2 : 0
    57Krejcikova B. (15)Maria T.2 : 0
    58Kudermetova V.Tomova V.2 : 0
    59Townsend T. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    60Bronzetti L.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    61Kalinskaya A. (30)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    62Kartal S.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    63Paquet C. (WC)Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    64Gadecki O.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Teichmann J.2 : 0
    2Collins D.Danilovic O.1 : 2
    3Tauson C. (22)Rus A.2 : 0
    4Golubic V.Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (11)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    6Romero Gormaz L.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    7Lys E.Mboko V.0 : 2
    8Arango E.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (4)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    10Starodubtseva Y.Potapova A.2 : 0
    11Vekic D. (18)Pera B.1 : 2
    12Bondar A.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (12)Jovic I.2 : 0
    14Dolehide C.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    15Bejlek S.Cristian J.1 : 2
    16Raducanu E.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    17Andreeva M. (6)Krueger A.2 : 0
    18Garland J.Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    19Kasatkina D. (17)Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    20Ruse G.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    21Parks A.Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    22Kalinina A.Boisson L.0 : 2
    23Frech M. (25)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    24Li A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (7)Boulter K.2 : 0
    26Azarenka V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    27Baptiste H.Hibino N.2 : 0
    28Montgomery R.Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    29Krejcikova B. (15)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    30Cocciaretto E.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    31Bouzkova M.Kartal S.2 : 0
    32Valentova T.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    2Tauson C. (22)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    3Yastremska D.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    4Mboko V.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    5Paolini J. (4)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    6Pera B.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    7Rybakina E. (12)Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 0
    8Cristian J.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Putintseva Y. (32)2 : 0
    10Kasatkina D. (17)Badosa P. (10)2 : 0
    11Jacquemot E.Boisson L.1 : 2
    12Vondrousova M.Pegula J. (3)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (7)Kenin S. (31)2 : 1
    14Baptiste H.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova V.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    16Bouzkova M.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (16)2 : 0
    2Samsonova L. (19)Zheng Q. (8)1 : 2
    3Paolini J. (4)Svitolina E. (13)1 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (12)Swiatek I. (5)1 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Kasatkina D. (17)2 : 0
    6Boisson L.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    7Keys M. (7)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (20)Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (8)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (13)Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (6)Boisson L.0 : 2
    4Keys M. (7)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Swiatek I. (5)2 : 1
    2Boisson L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2