Bristol Rovers vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League One - Round 39
Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	2.07
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
75% (339/450)	67% (190/284)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	2.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	2.16
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
8	2
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
21	20
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
75% (339/450)	67% (190/284)
Long passes
31% (22/71)	29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
57% (71/124)	51% (54/105)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.72
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
56% (14/25)	45% (9/20)
Duels won
55	58
Clearances Total
33	38
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
2.16	0.53
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Vickers C. ⚽, Evans W. (A),
12', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
21', Boateng H. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Sawyers R. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
32', Boateng H. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
43', Reed L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vickers C. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Dwyer D. ⚽, Baccus K. (A),
70', Sawyers R. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
70', Senior J. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
70', Forde S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
70', Ward G. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
71', Hewitt E. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
82', Evans W. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
82', Reed L. ↓, Kilgour A. ↑,
86', O'Donkor G. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
89', Baccus K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
25.6%

Draw
27.4%

Mansfield Town
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.17)	3.43 ↑ (3.41)	2.03 ↓ (2.19)	5.8% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 35.2% – 84.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mansfield will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Martin C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Craig M. (Inactive) MacDonald C. (Inactive) Maris G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.9:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Mansfield Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town were as follows:

23.11.2024 Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers 5:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Mansfield Town

15.03.2025 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Exeter City - Mansfield Town 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic 0:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Burton Albion - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two