Result
3:1
22/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (185/271) | 71% (216/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (185/271) | 71% (216/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 36% (25/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/106) | 45% (39/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 36', Aguirre A. 🟨,
- 38', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
- 38', Ibarra R. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Alman J. ⚽, Aleman C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', Ibarra R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 60', Melo A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 63', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 70', Valencia M. 🟨,
- 72', Monti R. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 0, Aleman C. ⚽, Alman J. (A),
- 74', Gomez L. ↓, Nardelli G. ↑,
- 76', Valencia M. ↓, Torres Nazareno L. B. ↑,
- 83', Aleman C. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 84', Valencia D. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 87', Mina A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Lugo J. (Pen),
- 90+9', 3 - 1, Almeida F. ⚽, Chala J. (A),
Chances of winning
Manta
40.1% | Draw
28.9% | Vinotinto
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Manta - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.17) |
3.22 ↓
(3.25) |
3.04 ↓
(3.05) |
7.3%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Manta - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
- Manta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vinotinto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Manta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Manta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Vinotinto?
Manta has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Manta?
Vinotinto has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Vinotinto were as follows:
02.11.2025
Vinotinto
-
Manta
2:0
20.09.2025
Vinotinto
-
Manta
4:1
24.05.2025
Manta
-
Vinotinto
2:2
08.09.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
1:0
17.07.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
6:2
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
