Result
2:2
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 14
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (413/473) | 67% (152/226) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (413/473) | 67% (152/226) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (34/47) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (107/139) | 61% (51/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Molina N. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Gomez L. ⚽, Lugo J. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Angulo L. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 46', Jaramillo M. ↓, Bartora G. ↑,
- 46', Mera F. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 56', Ramirez B. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 56', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 61', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 65', Mina A. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
- 66', Zambrano J. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 73', Lugo J. ↓, Monti R. ↑,
- 74', Ushina K. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
- 89', Gomez L. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 90+2', Almeida F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manta
40.2% | Draw
28.5% | Vinotinto
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Manta - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.35) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
2.94 ↓
(2.98) |
7.2%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manta - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
Manta will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manta will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.
- Manta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Vinotinto?
Manta has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Manta?
Vinotinto has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Vinotinto were as follows:
08.09.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
1:0
17.07.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
6:2
18.06.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
2:1
30.04.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
2:1
06.09.2023
Vinotinto
-
Manta
1:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
