Result
4:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 29
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (308/366) | 79% (243/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (308/366) | 79% (243/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (42/72) | 64% (61/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -2.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Monti R. ⚽, Lugo J. (A),
- 33', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Valencia D. (Pen),
- 41', 2 - 1, Lugo J. ⚽, Aguirre A. (A),
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Nardelli G. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Acosta M. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 46', Jaramillo M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 52', 4 - 1, Luna D. ⚽, Lugo J. (A),
- 58', Ibarra R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 58', Madruga A. ↓, Penarrieta J. ↑,
- 58', Medina E. A. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
- 63', Valencia M. 🟨,
- 67', Lugo J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 79', Ramirez B. 🟨,
- 80', Luna D. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
- 80', Coba K. ↓, Ona C. ↑,
- 80', Monti R. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 80', Ramirez B. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 88', Quintero D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
49.8% | Draw
27.3% | Manta
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Vinotinto - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.04) |
3.41 ↑
(3.26) |
4.07 ↑
(3.61) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Vinotinto is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vinotinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Manta?
Vinotinto has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Vinotinto?
Manta has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Manta were as follows:
24.05.2025
Manta
-
Vinotinto
2:2
08.09.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
1:0
17.07.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
6:2
18.06.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
2:1
30.04.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
2:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
