Result
4:1
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 29
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.95 | 1.16 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (308/366) | 79% (243/306) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.95 | 1.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.91 | 0.85 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
84% (308/366) | 79% (243/306) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (35/62) | 49% (24/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (42/72) | 64% (61/95) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 19% (5/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.12 | 0.62 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (12/13) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.85 | 1.91 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.15 | -2.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Monti R. ⚽, Lugo J. (A),
- 33', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Valencia D. (Pen),
- 41', 2 - 1, Lugo J. ⚽, Aguirre A. (A),
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Nardelli G. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Acosta M. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 46', Jaramillo M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 52', 4 - 1, Luna D. ⚽, Lugo J. (A),
- 58', Ibarra R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 58', Madruga A. ↓, Penarrieta J. ↑,
- 58', Medina E. A. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
- 63', Valencia M. 🟨,
- 67', Lugo J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 79', Ramirez B. 🟨,
- 80', Luna D. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
- 80', Coba K. ↓, Ona C. ↑,
- 80', Monti R. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 80', Ramirez B. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 88', Quintero D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto 49.8% | Draw 27.3% | Manta 22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Vinotinto - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (2.04) |
3.41 ↑ (3.26) |
4.07 ↑ (3.61) |
7.3% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Vinotinto is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vinotinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Manta?
Vinotinto has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Vinotinto?
Manta has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Manta were as follows:
24.05.2025
Manta
-
Vinotinto
2:2
08.09.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
1:0
17.07.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
6:2
18.06.2024
Manta
-
Vinotinto
2:1
30.04.2024
Vinotinto
-
Manta
2:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )