Manuel Mazza vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Cattolica Men Manuel Mazza - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Result
2:1
18/06/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
91

Chances of winning


Manuel Mazza
53.3%
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Mazza's form might have worsened.
  • Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samuel Vincent Ruggeri's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Mazza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manuel Mazza - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.51)

    1.99
    (2.5)
    7.8%
    (6.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mazza is ranked ATP: 778. Vincent Ruggeri is ranked ATP: 439.
    • Mazza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vincent Ruggeri has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mazza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mazza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mazza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    Latest results of Manuel Mazza
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Pennaforti G. (1)Rispoli N. (Q)2 : 0
    2Bilardo J.Mesaglio M. (Q)1 : 2
    3Rottoli L.Meduri A. (Q)2 : 1
    4Mazza M.Vincent Ruggeri S. (5)2 : 1
    5Picchione A. (3)Mecarelli M.2 : 0
    6Pampanin P. (Q)Miletich I.1 : 2
    7Vulpitta G. (Q)Catini N.1 : 2
    8Baroni N.Pecci A. (6)0 : 2
    9Oradini G. (8)Tabacco G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Mazzola F.Serafini M.0 : 2
    11Romano F.Sciahbasi L.2 : 0
    12Milev Y.Compagnucci T. (4)2 : 0
    13Lopez Montagud C. (7)Morolli A. (LL)2 : 0
    14D'Agostino S.Caniato C. A.0 : 2
    15Osti F. K. P. (Q)Primucci L. (Q)0 : 2
    16Castagnola L.Marmousez L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pennaforti G. (1)Mesaglio M.2 : 0
    2Rottoli L.Mazza M.0 : 2
    3Picchione A. (3)Miletich I.2 : 0
    4Catini N.Pecci A. (6)0 : 2
    5Oradini G. (8)Serafini M.2 : 1
    6Romano F.Milev Y.2 : 0
    7Lopez Montagud C. (7)Caniato C. A.0 : 2
    8Primucci L.Castagnola L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pennaforti G. (1)Mazza M.0 : 2
    2Picchione A. (3)Pecci A. (6)0 : 2
    3Oradini G. (8)Romano F.2 : 0
    4Caniato C. A.Castagnola L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Mazza M.Pecci A. (RET.) (6)1 : 1
    2Oradini G. (8)Caniato C. A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Mazza M.Caniato C. A.2 : 0