Maranhão vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
43
Yellow cards
44
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
98
Corner kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Railson 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 30', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
  • 44', Rafael T. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Eder 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Melk , Matheusinho ,
  • 46', Jorge Rocha , Felipe Sales ,
  • 57', Matheus Araujo , Fernandinho ,
  • 61', Fernando , Richardson ,
  • 61', Vinicius Zanocelo , Alex Silva ,
  • 68', Will , Joelson ,
  • 68', Rosivan , Rodrigo Negueba ,
  • 69', Fernando , Tiburcio ,
  • 74', Will , Pimentinha ,
  • 79', Wendel , Lucca ,
  • 83', Lucao 🟨,
  • 88', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 89', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
  • 90+4', Joelson 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maranhão
18.6%
Draw
28.5%
Ceará
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 28.6% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maranhão's form might have worsened.
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maranhão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maranhão - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (3.39)
    3.21
    (3.24)
    1.75
    (2.13)
    8.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Maranhão - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maranhão will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maranhão (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Ceará (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Maranhão (votes: 1 - 50%). Ceará (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Maranhão have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ceará is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ceará will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Maranhão
    01.03.2026 IAPE - Maranhão 1:0
    25.02.2026 São Luiz - Maranhão 0:1
    22.02.2026 Maranhão - IAPE 0:0
    Latest results of Ceará
    08.03.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:2
    01.03.2026 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
    26.02.2026 Ceará - EC Primavera 2:1
    22.02.2026 Ceará - Floresta 4:0
    15.02.2026 Floresta - Ceará 0:3
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    2ByeVolta Redonda
    3America RNBye
    4ByeGAS
    5Barra FCBye
    7America MGBye
    8America SETirol1 : 2
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17CastanhalBye
    18ByeGuarani
    19Nova IguacuBye
    20ByeLagarto
    21ManauaraBye
    22ByeItabaiana
    23FortalezaBye
    24MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33JoinvilleBye
    34ByeCSA
    35Sao BernardoBye
    36ByeAlagoinhas
    37Sao LuizBye
    38ByeMaranhao
    39CearaBye
    40AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Operario VGBye
    50ByePorto Velho
    51Atletico GOBye
    52Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    53Ponte PretaBye
    55SER CaxiasBye
    56ByeGuarany de Bage
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65Tuna LusoBye
    66ByeTocantinopolis
    67JuventudeBye
    68GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    69BareMadureira0 : 3
    70ByeABC
    71Aguia De MarabaBye
    72ByeIndependencia
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81Santa CruzBye
    82ByeSousa
    83CRBBye
    84Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    85ImperatrizBye
    86ByeAmazonas
    87FigueirenseBye
    88ByeAzuriz
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1IvinhemaVolta Redonda2 : 4
    2America RNGAS3 : 0
    3Barra FCBye
    4America MGTirol2 : 1
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife0 : 1
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club1 : 2
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    10Nova IguacuLagarto2 : 1
    11ManauaraItabaiana3 : 1
    12FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba2 : 1
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    18Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    19Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    20CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC0 : 1
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    26Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    27Ponte PretaBye
    28SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI0 : 1
    33Tuna LusoTocantinopolis4 : 1
    34JuventudeGuapore5 : 0
    35MadureiraABC1 : 0
    36Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    37Capital FCManaus1 : 2
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR0 : 2
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41Santa CruzSousa0 : 1
    42CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    43ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    44FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria3 : 0
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana1 : 0

    1/64-finals
    1Volta RedondaAmerica RN1 : 0
    2Barra FCAmerica MG1 : 0
    3Sport RecifeAnapolis2 : 1
    4Athletic ClubYpiranga FC2 : 0
    5CastanhalNova Iguacu0 : 4
    6ManauaraFortaleza0 : 1
    7Santa CatarinaJacuipense0 : 1
    8MixtoNovorizontino0 : 3
    9JoinvilleSao Bernardo0 : 1
    10MaranhaoCeara0 : 1
    11Vila Nova FCOperario MS2 : 1
    12ConfiancaTombense2 : 0
    13Porto VelhoAtletico GO0 : 1
    14Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage1 : 0
    15Maringa FCUberlandia3 : 2
    16GoiasFluminense-PI3 : 0
    17Tuna LusoJuventude1 : 2
    18MadureiraAguia De Maraba0 : 1
    19ManausLondrina0 : 1
    20Operario-PRCapital2 : 0
    21SousaCRB0 : 2
    22AmazonasFigueirense0 : 1
    23PortuguesaAvai2 : 1
    24Paysandu PAPortuguesa RJ3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Volta RedondaBarra FC
    2Sport RecifeAthletic Club
    3Nova IguacuFortaleza
    4JacuipenseNovorizontino
    5Sao BernardoCeara
    6Vila Nova FCConfianca
    7Atletico GOPonte Preta
    8Maringa FCGoias
    9JuventudeAguia De Maraba
    10LondrinaOperario-PR
    11CRBFigueirense
    12PortuguesaPaysandu PA