Maranhão vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Maranhão - Fortaleza
Result
3:2
27/03/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Moises ,
  • 25', Andre Radija 🟨,
  • 34', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Lucero J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Pochettino T. , Hercules ,
  • 46', Rossetto M. , Kauan ,
  • 51', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Felipe Cruz ,
  • 56', Pedro Gustavo 🟨,
  • 61', Vander 🟨,
  • 66', Adeilson Maranhao , Clessione ,
  • 68', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Vinicius Barata ,
  • 73', Marinho , Calebe ,
  • 77', Felipe Cruz 🟨,
  • 77', Felipe Cruz , Alison ,
  • 77', Lucero J. , Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 79', Thiago Galhardo 🟨,
  • 82', Thauan Lara , Dudu ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Clessione ,
  • 84', Clessione 🟨,
  • 84', Franklin , Sousa D. ,
  • 85', Ronald Camarao , Kessinho M. ,
  • 86', Franklin 🟨,
  • 88', Jean 🟨,
  • 90+8', Cardona T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maranhão
21.8%
Draw
26.8%
Fortaleza
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 27.6% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 26.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maranhão - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (3.49)
    3.41
    (3.3)
    1.78
    (1.97)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Maranhão is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.
    • Fortaleza will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Maranhão
    24.03.2024 Bahia - Maranhão 1:0
    21.03.2024 Itabaiana - Maranhão 3:4
    10.03.2024 Maranhão - Cordino 2:0
    06.03.2024 Maranhão - Treze 1:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    20.03.2024 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    17.03.2024 Fortaleza - Maracanã 3:0
    14.03.2024 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    10.03.2024 Maracanã - Fortaleza 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2