Santa Cruz Recife vs Maranhão – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão
20/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
51.7%
Draw
28.9%
Maranhão
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 28.7% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.2% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.
  • Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maranhão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.97)
    3.16
    (3.2)
    4.71
    (3.7)
    9.5%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, Santa Cruz is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Santa Cruz will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Maranhão - Santa Cruz Recife 0:1
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Maranhão
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2