Tuntum vs Maranhão – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense Tuntum - Maranhão
Result
1:0
02/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Maranhense - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 73', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tuntum
25.4%
Draw
28.1%
Maranhão
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.4% 26.4% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 25.7% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tuntum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maranhão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tuntum - Maranhão Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (4.06)
    3.26
    (3.44)
    1.97
    (1.78)
    9.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ Maranhense 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Maranhão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Tuntum have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Maranhão have a series of home games.
    • In this match Maranhão is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuntum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tuntum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tuntum - Maranhão were as follows:
    21.03.2025 Maranhão - Tuntum 1:0
    Latest results of Tuntum
    21.03.2025 Maranhão - Tuntum 1:0
    18.03.2025 IAPE - Tuntum 2:1
    18.02.2025 Tuntum - IAPE 1:1
    08.02.2025 Viana - Tuntum 1:3
    Latest results of Maranhão
    21.03.2025 Maranhão - Tuntum 1:0
    01.03.2025 IAPE - Maranhão 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1ImperatrizSampaio Correa2 : 0, 1 : 2
    2MaranhaoIAPE0 : 1, 4 : 0

    Final
    1ImperatrizMaranhao0 : 2, 0 : 0