Marbella vs Alcorcón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
55
Total shots
39
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Llorente R. , Blanco R. (A),
  • 38', Ruiz A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Luis Alcalde , Cambra J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Ballesteros Y. , Navarro D. ,
  • 58', Ruiz A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 58', Vanheusden Z. , Escassi A. ,
  • 58', Fattore V. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 68', Eugeni 🟨,
  • 70', Pola J. 🟨,
  • 72', Eugeni , Munoz L. ,
  • 76', Vacas L. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 76', Llorente R. , Martinez B. ,
  • 80', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 82', Ohemeng E. , Boussefiane H. ,
  • 84', Gabri 🟨,
  • 87', Navarro D. 🟨,
  • 89', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Kopotun V. ,
  • 90+7', Nieto S. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Blanco R. , Lanchi ,
  • 90+8', Nieto S. , Perez I. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3nnfe66k

Chances of winning


Marbella
44%
Draw
29.6%
Alcorcón
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 29.9% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.1% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Marbella - Alcorcón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.13)
    3.11
    (3.03)
    3.49
    (3.3)
    8.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Marbella - Alcorcón?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Marbella has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alcorcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marbella is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbella - Alcorcón were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Alcorcón - Marbella 3:1
    12.01.2025 Marbella - Alcorcón 3:3
    Latest results of Marbella
    02.11.2025 Teruel - Marbella 1:0
    26.10.2025 Marbella - Cartagena 0:0
    19.10.2025 Antequera - Marbella 3:1
    11.10.2025 Marbella - Eldense 1:0
    04.10.2025 CE Europa - Marbella 2:1
    Latest results of Alcorcón
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

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