Result
3:2
28/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Eugeni 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
- 20', Carbonell A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 24', Viedma A. ↓, Satoca D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Guzman T. ↓, Cambra J. ↑,
- 58', Niza S. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Own goal),
- 75', 3 - 0, Alvarez I. ⚽,
- 79', Juarez A. ↓, Simon L. ↑,
- 79', Rodri ↓, Denia M. ↑,
- 81', Selma D. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gabri ↑,
- 87', Eugeni ↓, Gil A. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Castellano A. ⚽,
- 90+4', Alexiel 🟨,
- 90+8', Cabrera J. 🟨,
- 90+10', 🟨,
- 90+11', 3 - 2, Alexiel ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Sanluqueño 29% | Draw 30% | Marbella 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↑ (3) |
3.06 (3.06) |
2.26 ↓ (2.4) |
8.5% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2.
- Recent form of Sanluqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Marbella has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sanluqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marbella might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Sanluqueño won against Marbella?
Atlético Sanluqueño has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbella won against Atlético Sanluqueño?
Marbella has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella were as follows:
06.12.2025
Marbella
-
Atlético Sanluqueño
1:0
01.03.2025
Atlético Sanluqueño
-
Marbella
1:1
10.11.2024
Marbella
-
Atlético Sanluqueño
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Sanluqueño
Latest results of Marbella
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Eldense | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Teruel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Villarreal B | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | Antequera | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Hercules | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Murcia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 17 | Sanluqueno | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Betis B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Sevilla FC B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Marbella | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation