Ceuta vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
19/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
139
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Jamelli ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Ohemeng E. ,
  • 24', Ahmed A. , Guzman J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Escudero A. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 72', Rodri , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 72', Escudero A. , Bellotti M. ,
  • 75', Alvarez J. , Zequi ,
  • 75', Bernardo , Edwards R. ,
  • 76', Lopez A. , Fornes G. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez C. (Pen),
  • 87', Zalazar K. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 87', Jamelli , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 88', Awudu T. , Du Yuezheng ,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
55.2%
Draw
26.8%
Marbella
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 28.1% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 27.6% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Marbella aligns with the current prediction.
  • Ceuta - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.72)
    3.43
    (3.28)
    4.99
    (5.03)
    9.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 15).
    • Ceuta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Marbella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ceuta is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Marbella were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Marbella - Ceuta 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1
    09.03.2025 Ceuta - Antequera 2:2
    Latest results of Marbella
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    23.03.2025 Marbella - Alcoyano 0:2
    15.03.2025 Betis B - Marbella 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

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