Ceuta vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Ceuta - Marbella
Result
3:1
19/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
139
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Jamelli ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Ohemeng E. ,
  • 24', Ahmed A. , Guzman J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Escudero A. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 72', Rodri , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 72', Escudero A. , Bellotti M. ,
  • 75', Alvarez J. , Zequi ,
  • 75', Bernardo , Edwards R. ,
  • 76', Lopez A. , Fornes G. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez C. (Pen),
  • 87', Zalazar K. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 87', Jamelli , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 88', Awudu T. , Du Yuezheng ,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
55.2%
Draw
26.8%
Marbella
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 28.1% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 27.6% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Marbella aligns with the current prediction.
  • Ceuta - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.72)
    3.43
    (3.28)
    4.99
    (5.03)
    9.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 15).
    • Ceuta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Marbella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ceuta is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Marbella were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Marbella - Ceuta 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1
    09.03.2025 Ceuta - Antequera 2:2
    Latest results of Marbella
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    23.03.2025 Marbella - Alcoyano 0:2
    15.03.2025 Betis B - Marbella 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Ibiza22004:226
    2Gimnastic21104:314
    3FC Cartagena SAD21103:214
    4Marbella21102:114
    5CE Europa21102:114
    6Eldense21101:014
    7Algeciras31112:204
    8Murcia21012:203
    9Alcorcon21012:203
    10Villarreal B21011:103
    11Tarazona21011:103
    12Hercules31022:3-13
    13Sabadell20202:202
    14Betis B20202:202
    15Sanluqueno20202:202
    16Sevilla FC B20112:3-11
    17Atl. Madrid B20112:3-11
    18Teruel20111:2-11
    19Antequera20110:1-11
    20Torremolinos20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation