Ceuta vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
19/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
139
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Jamelli ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Ohemeng E. ,
  • 24', Ahmed A. , Guzman J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Escudero A. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 72', Rodri , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 72', Escudero A. , Bellotti M. ,
  • 75', Alvarez J. , Zequi ,
  • 75', Bernardo , Edwards R. ,
  • 76', Lopez A. , Fornes G. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez C. (Pen),
  • 87', Zalazar K. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 87', Jamelli , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 88', Awudu T. , Du Yuezheng ,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
55.2%
Draw
26.8%
Marbella
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 28.1% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 27.6% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Marbella aligns with the current prediction.
  • Ceuta - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.72)
    3.43
    (3.28)
    4.99
    (5.03)
    9.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 15).
    • Ceuta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Marbella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ceuta is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Marbella were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Marbella - Ceuta 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1
    09.03.2025 Ceuta - Antequera 2:2
    Latest results of Marbella
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    23.03.2025 Marbella - Alcoyano 0:2
    15.03.2025 Betis B - Marbella 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense351811653:332065
    2Sabadell351714448:222665
    3Atl. Madrid B351710856:381861
    4Villarreal B351513748:282058
    5CE Europa351511948:43556
    6FC Cartagena SAD3514111032:32053
    7Algeciras3514101138:36252
    8Teruel3512121126:29-348
    9UD Ibiza3512111238:32647
    10Alcorcon3511141036:33347
    11Antequera351381442:43-147
    12Hercules3512111238:39-147
    13Murcia3512101336:37-146
    14Torremolinos3510131242:45-343
    15Gimnastic351271637:45-843
    16Tarazona3510121329:35-642
    17Betis B351081741:56-1538
    18Marbella35872031:47-1631
    19Sanluqueno ✔ 35782026:51-2529
    20Sevilla FC B ✔ 355111918:39-2126

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sanluqueno is Relegated to
    Sevilla FC B is Relegated to